Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
000
FXUS66 KHNX 232257
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
357 PM PDT THU MAY 23 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST IS BRINGING A COOL ONSHORE
FLOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
NEAR NORMAL THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
IN THE SHORT TERM...THE MAIN CONCERNS HAVE BEEN THE GUSTY
CONDITIONS IN THE KERN DESERT AND TEHACHAPI PASS AREAS AND THE
COOLER TEMPERATURES. WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW IN PLACE ABOVE US WINDS
ARE FLOWING OVER THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS AND SINKING ON THE
EASTERN SLOPES MAKING FOR GUSTY CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY IN THE
MOJAVE AREA. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THERE UNTIL 9 PM THIS
EVENING BUT MY RELIEF WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION FOR
POSSIBLY TEMPORALLY EXTENDING THE ADVISORY. AS FAR AS THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES GO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY WILL AGAIN HAVE ANOTHER
COOL MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S. WITH WINDS
VIRTUALLY NON EXISTENT TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY MIXING WILL BE
MINIMIZED AND ALONG WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES RADIATIONAL COOLING
WILL THEREFORE BE MAXIMIZED. SOME AREAS COULD POTENTIALLY FLIRT
WITH NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY AND SLIGHTLY BE ON AN UPWARD SWING
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL
CONTINUE TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL. SKIES WILL ALSO REMAIN MOSTLY
CLEAR THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH AN OMEGA BLOCK FIRMLY IN PLACE
OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. A SYSTEM OVER THE PAC WEST WHICH HAS BEEN
SPINNING IN PLACE FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
SOUTHWARD AND WILL INCREASE THE CLOUDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES
BEGINNING MONDAY. THE ONLY QUESTION IS WILL ANY PRECIPITATION
OCCUR. AT THIS TIME THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT WITH LITTLE
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE PRESENT MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL BE
UNLIKELY. HOWEVER...HAVING SAID THAT THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE
FOR VERY LIGHT SPRINKLES ESPECIALLY FRESNO NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH SHORTWAVE IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK WILL REMAIN WELL WITHIN NORMAL RANGES AND
CLOUDS WILL BE MORE LIKELY.
&&
.AVIATION...
WIND GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR GREATER CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH AND BELOW
THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH 04Z FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR.
&&
.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.
&&
.CERTAINTY...
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORDS
SITE DATE HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR
KFAT 05-23 103:1967 65:1916 71:2000 44:1960
KFAT 05-24 103:1943 64:1916 68:2001 41:1953
KFAT 05-25 102:1890 59:1906 68:1890 42:1980
KBFL 05-23 107:1904 67:2010 73:2000 44:1903
KBFL 05-24 107:1982 68:1980 76:1982 41:1916
KBFL 05-25 106:1982 58:2008 77:1982 39:1893
&&
.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING CAZ095-098-099.
&&
$$
PUBLIC...ANDERSEN
AVN/FW...MOLINA
SYNOPSIS...PJ
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD