Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 210108
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
908 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.UPDATE...
WRAPPED UP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE CAROLINA COAST SLOWLY
PULLING AWAY FROM THE REGION BUT STILL LINGERING IMPACTS OF LOW
CLOUDS THE LAST FORECAST CHALLENGE OVERNIGHT AND FOR NOW HAVE KEPT
ONGOING FORECAST TRENDS OF VERY SLOW DISSIPATION BY KEEPING THEM
MOSTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY ON MONDAY.
LOWS TO REMAIN IN THE 50S TONIGHT...WHILE MAX TEMPS ON MONDAY
SHOULD REBOUND ABOUT 10-15 DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY INTO THE 70S
BUT STILL BELOW NORMAL FOR THE LATE APRIL TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION...
STRATO-CUMULUS CEILINGS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVERNIGHT. THE CHALLENGE
IS WHETHER CEILINGS WILL SETTLE JUST BELOW 3000 FEET OR JUST
ABOVE. WILL LEAN MORE TOWARDS MVFR...BUT LOW VFR CEILINGS MAY HOLD
IN PLACE AT A FEW OF THE TAF SITES...ESPECIALLY AT SSI. NO
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED SINCE LOW CLOUD DECK WILL
INHIBIT FOG DEVELOPMENT. CLOUDS SHOULD BECOME MORE SCATTERED
MONDAY MORNING BUT MVFR CEILINGS COULD MOVE BACK IN OFF THE
ATLANTIC DURING THE DAY AND AFFECT THE TAF SITES NEAR THE COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HEADLINES TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH SEAS 4-7
FT NEARSHORE AND 8-11 FT OFFSHORE WITH NORTH WINDS OF 20-25 KNOTS.
WINDS/SEAS SUBSIDING A BIT MORE ON MONDAY WITH HEADLINES SLOWLY
FALLING AWAY BY TUESDAY TIME FRAME.

RIP CURRENTS: HIGH RISK TO SETTLE DOWN TO A MODERATE RISK OVERNIGHT
AS SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDE INTO MONDAY. SURF/BREAKERS IN THE 3-5 FT /
ISOLD 6 FT AND TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO A FOOT ABOVE
NORMAL BUT STILL BELOW ANY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LEVELS DURING
THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD LOW MAX TEMPS OF 62 DEGREES SET AT KJAX /TIED RECORD/ AND KSSI
/BREAKS OLD RECORD OF 64/ BOTH OF WHICH WERE PREVIOUSLY SET LAST YEAR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  50  76  51  82 /   0   0  10  20
SSI  56  71  56  78 /   0   0   0  10
JAX  53  75  53  83 /   0   0   0  10
SGJ  57  72  56  79 /   0   0  10  10
GNV  53  79  54  83 /   0   0   0  10
OCF  55  79  56  84 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR DUVAL-
     FLAGLER-NASSAU-ST JOHNS.

GA...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL
     CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND
     GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EDT MONDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA
     TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST
     AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT
     20 NM.

&&

$$

HESS/SHULER/MCALLISTER




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