Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 241000
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY A WARMING TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN. EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL
THANKSGIVING WITH MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS.
RAIN AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO NEVADA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH CLIMBING
HEIGHTS AND THICKNESS DELIVERING A PLEASANT WARMING TREND.

TODAY AND TUESDAY...WHILE THE RIDGE AXIS IS WEST OF NEVADA,
PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHERN NEVADA FROM TIME TO
TIME ON THE NW FLOW. EXPECT A MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY ALONG AND NORTH OF
I-80 THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH JUST A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ON THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF ELKO COUNTY.

WEDNESDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS ALIGNS DIRECTLY OVER
NEVADA, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES PEAKING WELL INTO THE 50S WITH
A FEW LOWER 60S IN CENTRAL NEVADA. CLOUDS DECREASE UNDER THE
RIDGE, WITH FANTASTIC WEATHER FOR THE BIGGEST TRAVEL DAY OF THE
YEAR.

TURNER

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD. HOWEVER HIGH PRESSURE IS
POSITIONED ABOUT 100 MILES FURTHER OFFSHORE TO START THIS PERIOD
THAN THE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS INDICATED. SO THERE MAY BE MORE
DOWNSTREAM TIMING ISSUES WITH UPCOMING WEEKEND PRECIPITATION. THAT
SAID...ITS PRETTY SAFE TO SAY THAT DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THANKSGIVING AND BLACK FRIDAY.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SITUATED ABOUT 400
MILES OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN BAJA WHILE A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
NORTHEASTWARD FROM CENTRAL HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN.
THIS WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL START TO
MODERATE.

THANKSGIVING DAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DROP SOUTH
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST HOWEVER THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH
TO PROVIDE A BEAUTIFUL THANKSGIVING DAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE INTO THE 50S TO NEAR 60 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE STATE.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH BLACK FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE OF
THE COUNTRY WILL SHIFT EAST ENOUGH TO CREATE A RESURGENCE OF RIDGING
OVER NEVADA AND ANOTHER NICE DAY WILL BE ON TAP. EARLY MORNING
SHOPPERS WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 50S ONCE AGAIN ON BLACK FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH NEAR THE PACIFIC COAST. THERE MAY BE SOME RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS SPREADING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA NEAR THE IDAHO AND
OREGON BORDERS.

SUNDAY. AS LOW PRESSURE NEARS THE CALIFORNIA COAST...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL GET NUDGED EAST AND SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL EXPAND EASTWARD ACROSS
THE STATE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND
KTPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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