Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 201210 CCA

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Elko NV
410 AM PST Mon Nov 20 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Cloudy today with rain moving into Humboldt County
after sunrise. Showers expand across northern NV today, then
diminish tonight late. With the possible exception of far
northern NV, the region should be dry Tuesday through next
Saturday. Temperatures will trend warmer through Thanksgiving Day,
and remain well above normal through next weekend.


.SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday night.

Models agree pretty well on a large ridge over the western US with
a closed low impinging over the top of it, lightly depressing it
through the short term period. This will allow temps to warm some,
but not as much as they would without sunshine. Clouds have
already overrun the interior west and some light elevated showers
are appearing on radar approaching Humboldt County from the
southwest. These will cover most of northern Nevada today and
tonight south to about Highway 50. Lighter toward the south,
heavier toward the north. They decrease Tuesday and barely extend
south to Interstate 80s. Then further north and lighter yet
Wednesday. Temps warm a little each day, but clouds in the dirty
ridge will keep out a lot of sun, except over White Pine and
northern Nye where temps will warm a little faster. Highs 40s to
60s today, 50s and 60s Tuesday, and mostly 60s with a few low 70s

.LONG TERM...Thanksgiving Day through next Monday.

Ridge builds in earnest through Sunday with warming and drying
trend. Exception will be far northern Nevada with a few weak short
waves that depress the ridge and allow some light showers and a
less robust warm up. Mostly 60s and 70s on Thanksgiving day with
some light pops in the north, dry south. A bit cooler on the
weekend under clouds with 50s and 60s, and a few 40s in higher
valleys under clouds and showers far north.


.AVIATION...Areas of rain in the valleys and snow in the
mountains will expand eastward across northern Nevada this morning
and persist through the afternoon. At this time, anticipating
CIGs at KWMC and KEKO to lower to around 5000 feet AGL with
-SHRA. Precipitation will diminish across the north toward
 evening, but additional light showers could impact portions of
 Humboldt and Elko counties again between 06Z and 12Z Tuesday.
 Otherwise, KELY and KTPH are expected to remain dry with VFR
 conditions through 12Z Tuesday.




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