Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 292347
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
647 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

Area remains on southwest edge of broad cyclonic flow associated
with closed low over Ontario this afternoon. This pattern is
expected to continue through Tuesday night before return flow and
upper ridging work back into the region on Wednesday and Thursday.

Weak warm advection develops over western Kansas tonight with
small chance of showers brushing far southeast Nebraska by Tuesday
morning as zone moves east overnight. Stronger and more extensive
warm advection zone develops over eastern Nebraska and western
Iowa Wednesday night with widespread thunderstorms likely
into Thursday morning. Temperatures also turn warmer by Thursday
as ridging expands over the region.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

First part of the period through Saturday looks somewhat unsettled
although operational models still have poor agreement with
regards to upper flow pattern. Forecast trends used generally
follow 12Z ECMWF with dry weather following a northern plains
trough for Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

VFR conditions tonight with clouds fl080-100 decreasing in
coverage. Warm air advection and some mid level moisture will keep
some mid clouds passing through later tonight and Tuesday. Gusty
northwest winds will drop off quick early in the period...picking
up again 10-20kts Tuesday afternoon. A few showers may try to
develop Tuesday in southeast Nebraska, however confidence to low
to include in the TAF.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Fobert
LONG TERM...Fobert
AVIATION...Zapotocny



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