Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FXUS65 KREV 240947

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
247 AM PDT WED AUG 24 2016

Dry air will filter in across the region leading to stable
conditions with a break from shower and storm activity through
Thursday. There is a low chance for afternoon thunderstorms Friday
through Saturday well south of highway 50. Breezy conditions return
to the Sierra and western Nevada by Sunday afternoon as the next
weather system over the Pacific approaches the west coast.


Current water vapor satellite imagery showing a swath of dry air
aloft making its way across eastern California and western Nevada.
This will lead to a break from shower activity today with overall
light afternoon breezes and temperatures a degree or two above
season averages.

The dry airmass will persist into Thursday afternoon and have also
removed mention of showers and storms with the more stable profile
in place. Lower and mid-level moisture does show a modest increase
by Friday afternoon which may be enough sustain isolated showers and
storms mainly across southern zones including Mono and Mineral
counties. Winds will remain light Thursday and Friday with
seasonable temperatures across the region. Expecting upper 80s to
near 90 across western Nevada with low 80s for Sierra valleys.

.LONG TERM...Saturday through Tuesday...
Few changes made to the long term, although convection Saturday
still looks questionable. Models have continued to back off on the
instability, but left the mention for now. Light flow aloft could
result in a couple storms near the Sierra Crest from strong surface

Otherwise, a general light southwest flow develops across the area
with weak low pressure off the coast and a high over the Four
Corners. The models are in much better agreement with this pattern
and keep the strongest mid-level winds north. We still expect daily
afternoon southwest winds with peak gusts to 25 mph possible, but
light overnight. Temperatures will remain just above seasonal
averages for late August.


VFR conditions through Thursday with no convection expected.
Afternoon winds will be from the west with gusts to 20 kts today,
and light NE Thursday. Dry weather will continue into the weekend
with light winds with the except of a small chance of TS near KMMH
Friday and Saturday.


.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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