Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC
AGUS74 KFWR 111714
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1114 AM CST WED DEC 11 2013
VALID DECEMBER 11 THROUGH DECEMBER 16
...SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO NORTH TEXAS BY THIS WEEKEND...
Over the next few days, cool and drier conditions will persist
across the WGRFC area until this weekend. A closed low continues to
develop off the southern California coast and will slowly drift into
the great southwest starting tomorrow. Shortwave disturbances ahead
of this system will interact with Gulf moisture flowing into Deep
South Texas as Pacific moisure flows, and continues to move across
northern Mexico into far West Texas.
This system is expected to bring precipitation over the Big Bend
region moving northeast into central Texas tomorrow evening. At this
time, moisture content is expected to be very limited, therefore
precipitation amounts should generally remain less than 0.25 inch.
As the system continues moving towards the east, precipitation will
begin to spread over the eastern half of Texas and along the coast.
Light to moderate totals of precipitation are expected over this
area. As this upper low becomes an open wave, the system will
quickly move out of the area by Saturday. Another upper level
disturbance is expected to move over the WGRFC area Saturday
night/Sunday, however moisture will be very limited. All the
precipitation should be out of the region by the end of the
weekend. No significant flooding is expected through the weekend.
For Today into Thursday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.
For Thursday into Friday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.
For Friday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for portions of East Texas.
For Saturday into Monday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.
The drought situation in Texas continues to improve with less than
6% of the state in extreme drought in some isolated areas. New
Mexico is improving as well with only 4% of that state in extreme
drought, however all of New Mexico still remains in some level of
...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
All other WGRFC area rivers are below bank full. No significant
flooding is expected in the next 5 days.
...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts. This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.
For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
National Precipitation Analysis:
The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
The US Drought Assessment: