Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 301837
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
140 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...PRECIPITATION...

IN THE PAST 24 HOURS... CONVECTIVE STORMS MOVED THROUGH EASTERN
MINNESOTA... WISCONSIN... UPPER AND WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN IOWA... NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND THE BORDER OF MISSOURI AND
ILLINOIS.  THE STORMS WERE GENERALLY VERY STREAKY AND LOCALIZED...
BUT INTENSE UNDER THE HEAVIEST CORES.  THE HIGHEST REPORTS WERE
1.56 INCHES IN TWO LOCATIONS NEAR CHICAGO... AND 2.85 IN DOOR
COUNTY WISCONSIN.  WIDESPREAD TOTALS WERE CLOSER TO ONE QUARTER TO
ONE INCH.

IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS... STORMS ARE MOVING IN OVER THE DAKOTAS...
INCLUDING CURRENTLY... THE UPPER SOURIS RIVER BASIN.  THEY WILL
PROGRESS SOUTH AND EAST ALONG OUR BASIN BORDER WITH THE MISSOURI
RIVER BASIN... STAYING MOSTLY ON THE MISSOURI SIDE.

DAY 2 PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BRING THE STORMS EASTWARD INTO OUR
SOUTHERN AREAS OVER THE MERAMEC RIVER BASIN WITH TOTALS UPWARDS OF
THREE INCHES.  SIGNIFICANT RAINS COULD ALSO STRIKE THE ALREADY
FLOODING AREAS OF NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS.  THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND HOLDS
CONTINUED POSSIBILITY OF DAYTIME STORMS BUT NO SIGNIFICANT
ORGANIZED SYSTEM IS APPARENT.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

HEAVY RAINS HAVE FALLEN SOMEWHERE IN OUR SERVICE AREA EVERY DAY
FOR THE LAST 3 WEEKS.  DURING THAT PERIOD MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN
IOWA.. EASTERN MISSOURI.. ILLINOIS.. NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN HAVE SEEN 5-8 INCHES MORE RAIN THAN NORMAL.  MANY
AREAS RECEIVED MORE THAN 8 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL.

AS A RESULT OF THIS PERSISTENT AND HEAVY RAINFALL.. MANY TRIBUTARY
RIVERS HAVE EXPERIENCED MAJOR TO RECORD FLOODING.  THE ILLINOIS
AND MISSISSIPPI MAINSTEM RIVERS HAVE MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING
IN THEIR FORECASTS.

WE ARE WATCHING THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AS IT BRINGS SOME HEAVY RAIN OVER THESE AREAS
ALREADY FLOODING.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST:  LNE... JDT... BAC... JMP

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...JMP/BAC...





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