Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 021716
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1215 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

...PRECIPITATION...
THUNDERSTORMS DROPPED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI
OVERNIGHT LEAVING GAGE REPORTS WELL OVER 4 INCHES. THESE STORMS
THEN TRACKED INTO ILLINOIS LEAVING A TRAIL OF 2 INCH TO ALMOST 4
INCH AMOUNTS.OTHER HEAVY RAIN FELL IN LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE INCH TO
INCH AND A QUARTER AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED. OTHER LIGHTER RAIN WAS
WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE REGION.

RAIN SHOULD BE TAPERING OFF TODAY BUT WILL INTENSIFY ONCE AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY AND BEFORE DIMINISHING ONCE AGAIN BY THE WEEKEND. ON
WEDNESDAY HEAVY RAIN COULD FALL IN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN
WISCONSIN. OVER AN INCH AND A HALF IS EXPECTED IN CENTRAL
MINNESOTA WITH SCATTERED HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

BY THURSDAY THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND STRETCH FROM
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA TO WISCONSIN AND THE UPPER PENINSULA OF
MICHIGAN. RAINFALL AMOUNT WILL RANGE FROM A HALF TO NEARLY AN INCH
AND A HALF ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL IOWA AND SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...
DARDENNE CREEK AT ST PETERS MISSOURI REACHED MODERATE FLOOD STAGE
EARLY THIS MORNING AFTER RAINFALL OF MORE THAN 4 AND A HALF INCHES
OCCURRED WITHIN A COUPLE OF HOURS OVER THE SMALL WATERSHED.  IT IS
EXPECTED TO FALL QUICKLY BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATER TODAY. OTHER
AREAS ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS THAT SAW THE
HEAVIEST RAIN ARE SHOWING RISES...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS
EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...CONDITIONS REMAIN RELATIVELY WET ACROSS MUCH OF THE
UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN PLAINS AFTER MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY
PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS.  ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY
PRECIPITATION IN THESE AREAS COULD CREATE NEW FLOODING OR SLOW
RECESSIONS WHERE RIVERS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGH.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC


EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: JMP ... SAS ... LLD ... RJW

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...RJW/LLD...





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