Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 300944
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
444 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-310945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
444 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS...LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...AND A
RETURN TO SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL FUEL A LIMITED FIRE DANGER ACROSS
MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THE WORST CONDITIONS
WILL GENERALLY BE FOUND NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 44.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE REGION WILL MOVE NORTHWARD
TONIGHT...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR POTENTIAL ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...
            HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AT LEAST SMALL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK...AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVES ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE GREATEST CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE LATE THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY AS A FRONT
APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY PASSES THROUGH PARTS OF THE REGION.
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR PARAMETERS WILL SUPPORT SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL WITH THE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THUNDERSTORMS...WITH
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER UNLIKELY PRIOR TO THAT.

AFTER A DRY SATURDAY...INCREASING MOISTURE LATE IN THE WEEKEND WILL
FUEL ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL SUNDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS COMING WEEK...GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF
THE THURSDAY FRONT...WHICH WILL SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE THE RISK
OF RAPID FIRE SPREAD.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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