Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
AXUS72 KTBW 232023
DGTTBW
FLC015-017-027-049-053-055-057-071-075-081-101-103-105-115-119-
252030-

Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
423 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...Recent widespread heavy rain has brought an end to Drought
conditions across the region...


SYNOPSIS...
This will be the final drought statement for west central and
southwest Florida. Heavy rain during the month of June has wiped
out drought conditions across the forecast area. A small residual
D0 area representing abnormally dry conditions does persist over
the interior due to significant long term rainfall deficits,
however categorical drought classification has been removed from
the region.

Since October 2016, rainfall totals range from about 15 inches to
over 31 inches, which is about 1 inch above normal to 15.5 inches
below normal, or 51 to 104 percent of normal.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
The National Drought Monitor has significantly improved
conditions with only abnormally dry conditions remaining over the
interior peninsula.

A Modified Phase III Water Shortage remains in effect until
August 1, 2017 for the Southwest Florida Water Management
District (SWFWMD) area. This will limit lawn watering to once-
per-week in the SWFWMD area along with some other constraints.
Also, the South Florida Water Management District and Suwannee
River Water Management District have issued a Water Shortage
Warning, encouraging residents and visitors in the counties the
agencies cover to voluntarily conserve water. However, some local
governments have adopted stricter water shortage orders with
alternate schedules, so be sure to check with your city or county
to see if any are in effect.

Countywide average Keetch Byram Drought Index values have
improved and range from 23 across Pasco county to about 135 in
Citrus county. The KBDI scale runs from zero (saturated) to 800
(extreme dryness). Current values are in the very low range for
late June.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
The following table gives the rainfall from October 1, 2016 to
June 22, 2017, the 1981-2010 30 year normal, the departure from
normal, and the percent of normal, for sites across West Central
and Southwest Florida:

                        Site  Observed  30 Yr   Dep fm   Percent
Station                  Id   Rainfall  Normal  Normal  of Normal

Tampa                    TPA:   14.92    22.93    -8.01     65%
St Pete/Clearwater       PIE:   22.47    27.67    -5.20     81%
St Petersburg            SPG:   16.92    25.27    -8.35     67%
Winter Haven             GIF:   17.79    27.23    -9.44     65%
Sarasota-Bradenton       SRQ:   22.21    26.24    -4.03     85%
Punta Gorda              PGD:   24.92    25.76    -0.84     97%
Fort Myers/Page Field    FMY:   18.94    25.48    -6.54     74%
Fort Myers/SW Intl Apt   RSW:   25.20    26.37    -1.17     96%
Chiefland 5 SE         CHIF1:   16.03    31.52   -15.49     51%
Inverness 3 SE         INVF1:   20.23    28.04    -7.81     72%
Tarpon Springs         TRPF1:   16.99    26.90    -9.91     63%
Plant City             PLCF1:   26.32    28.06    -1.74     94%
Lakeland               LLDF1:   25.00    28.96    -3.96     86%
Bartow                 BARF1:   19.48    26.12    -6.64     75%
Mountain Lake          LWLF1:   15.99    26.90   -10.91     59%
Bradenton 5 ESE        BRAF1:   27.08    27.15    -0.07    100%
Wauchula 2 N           WAUF1:   26.47    26.99    -0.52     98%
Venice                 VNCF1:   23.30    26.12    -2.82     89%
Arcadia                ARCF1:   23.81    26.57    -2.76     90%
Archbold Bio Stn       ACHF1:   16.11    26.79   -10.68     60%
Punta Gorda 4 ESE      PNTF1:   25.59    24.69     0.90    104%


The following table gives the rainfall from October 1, 2016 to
May 31, 2017 the 1981-2010 30 year normal, the departure from
normal, and the percent of normal, for a few sites across West
Central and Southwest Florida:

                        Site  Observed  30 Yr   Dep fm   Percent
Station                  Id   Rainfall  Normal  Normal  of Normal

Bushnell 1 E           BSHF1:   12.91    23.35   -10.44     55%
St Leo                 STLF1:   11.70    23.84   -12.14     49%
Myakka River St Pk     MKCF1:   13.90    22.70    -8.80     61%
Desoto City 8 SW       DSCF1:    8.42    19.79   -11.37     43%

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

The Climate Prediction Center`s (CPC) 6-10 day and 8-14 day
outlooks calls for above normal temperatures and an equal chance
for above or below normal precipitation across the forecast area.

Meanwhile, the long range outlooks from the CPC for July, and for
the three-month period of July, August, and September is for
better chances of above normal temperatures to continue with equal
chances of below normal, near normal, or above normal
precipitation.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
Streamflows on area rivers have continued to rise due to the
widespread rainfall during the past few weeks with many now
running above seasonal normals. Minor flooding was observed on the
Peace river at Arcadia earlier in the week but has since fallen
below flood stage. The Myakka river at Myakka State Park has
risen very close to flood stage and remains at that level.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
This will be the final drought statement for west central and
southwest Florida.

RELATED WEB SITES...
Additional information on the current drought conditions may be
found at the following web sites:

Local NWS Tampa Bay Drought Page...
http://www.weather.gov/tbw/droughtinfo

U.S. Drought Monitor...
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu

NOAA Drought Page...
http://www.drought.gov

Climate Prediction Center...
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Southeast Regional Climate Center...
http://www.sercc.com

Florida Forest Service...
http://www.freshfromflorida.com/Divisions-Offices/Florida-Forest-
Service

Southwest Florida Water Management District...
http://www.swfwmd.state.fl.us

South Florida Water Management District...
http://www.sfwmd.gov

Suwannee River Water Management District...
http://fl-suwanneeriver.civicplus.com

United States Geological Survey...
http://fl.water.usgs.gov

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...
Information for this report was provided by the following:
The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, National
Drought Mitigation Center, Florida Forest Service, United States
Geological Survey, Southwest Florida Water Management District
and South Florida Water Management District.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
WFO Tampa Bay - Ruskin, FL
2525 14th Avenue SE
Ruskin, FL 33570
Phone: 813-645-2323
E-mail: sr-tbw.webmaster@noaa.gov

$$

Oglesby/Close



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