Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 280503
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1203 AM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER UPDATE IS IN STORE FOR THE NIGHT AS THE RAIN AND STORMS
SLOWLY WORK THEIR WAY OUT OF THE AREA. BEST COVERAGE REMAINS IN
THE NORTHEAST AND WILL WORK OUT AFTER 2 AM. WILL CONTINUE WITH
DEFINITE POPS THROUGH THAT TIME FRAME. POPS DROP OFF QUICKLY
AFTER THAT. WITH TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS ALREADY VERY
CLOSE...EXPECT FOG TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. WINDS MAY STAY UP JUST
ENOUGH TO KEEP THE AREA FROM SEEING ANY WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG...BUT
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR OVERNIGHT FOR THAT. THE MAIN TROUGH
SNEAKS TO THE EAST A TOUCH TOMORROW...SO BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN
THE EAST. RAISED POPS IN THE EAST TO THE LIKELY CATEGORY AFTER
21Z. PWS WILL BE QUITE HIGH IN THE AFTERNOON...ALMOST 2
INCHES...SO ANY PROLONGED STORM ON TOP OF ALL THE RAIN WE GOT
TONIGHT...MAY REACH FFG FAIRLY QUICKLY AND POSE MORE OF A PROBLEM
TOMORROW. UPDATES ARE OUT.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WITH ALL THIS RAIN THERE WILL LIKELY BY EITHER FOG AND OR LOW
CLOUDS THAT DEVELOP THROUGH THE MORNING. IN FACT BHM AND EET
ALREADY HAVE LOW CLOUDS AROUND 500 TO 700 FEET. EXPECT THAT THESE
WILL HANG ON FOR THE NIGHT. THE HRRR EVEN INDICATES SOME LIGHT
RAIN OR DRIZZLE FOR THE NORTHERN SITES...SO INCLUDED THAT THROUGH
15 TO 17Z. SOME CLEARING AFTER 18Z AND THEN MORE SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS AFTER 19 TO 21Z. CLEARING ONCE AGAIN AFTER
3Z.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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