Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLCH 080537
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1135 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
WINDS SLACKING UP ACROSS THE AREA ALLOWING FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING
PROCESSES AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME PATCHY FOG ACROSS FOR THE
COASTAL SITES BPT AND LESSER EXTENT LCH. WHILE THE VISIBILITIES ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP OCCASIONALLY IN THE MVFR RANGE AT LCH AND BPT.
CONDITIONS APPEAR BETTER FOR BRIEF IFR AT BPT UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES
LATER THIS MORNING. WILL PUT A TEMPO GROUP TO ACCOUNT FOR IFR AT
BPT. OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR FOR THE REST OFTHE AREA. WINDS WILL PICK
UP IN THE MORNING SO VFR EXEPCTED THEREAFTER WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRES CNTRD ACRS THE NW GULF WITH LT SWLY WINDS ACRS THE
REGION. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACRS CNTL ARK SW INTO CNTL TX. SOME
LT CIRRUS WAS STREAMING OVER THE REGION BUT OTHERWISE SKIES ARE
MOSTLY CLR. EXPECT ANOTHER COOL NIGHT TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE
MIDDLE 30S TO NR 40...BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS THIS MORNING. THE
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH
GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING IN ITS WAKE. OVERALL...CURRENT
FCST IS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATE IS NEEDED THIS EVENING.

24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 635 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 00Z TAF PACKAGE.

AVIATION... LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
PREVAIL. SOME PATCHY MVFR FOG MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ALONG THE
COASTAL AREAS AS RADIATIONAL COOLING DEVELOPS. HOWEVER...THIS WILL
LIKELY BE BRIEF AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS INTO THE AREA TOWARDS THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS BRINGING THE WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST.
WINDS WILL BE BRISK AND REMAIN GUSTY DURING THE DAY.

DISCUSSION...
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE SEEN THIS AFTERNOON...IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 60S ACROSS THE REGION...WITH SUNNY SKIES AND SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN ACROSS OUR
REGION OVERNIGHT...AND BEHIND THE FRONT WE ARE EXPECTING ANOTHER
DRY DAY MONDAY...BUT WINDS COULD BE GUSTY...AND COULD APPROACH
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING THE ADVISORY FOR
NOW...BUT THIS WILL BE RE-EVALUATED TONIGHT.

TUESDAY BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND OF COOL...DRY WEATHER...AND WINDS
COULD AGAIN BE GUSTY...SO WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHING FOR ANOTHER
POTENTIAL DAY OF WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA ON TUESDAY.

QUIET WEATHER STAYS IN PLACE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK...WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSAGE SCHEDULED NEXT
SATURDAY...WHICH ALSO LOOKS DRY AT THIS TIME.

MARINE...
DUE TO THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT...EXPECTING SCA CRITERIA TO BE
MET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE
WILL ALSO BE A TIME FRAME WHERE THE WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH
FOR A GALE WARNING FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  37  57  30  53 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  40  59  33  57 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  39  58  32  54 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  40  60  33  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ455-472-475.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ455-
     472-475.

     GALE WARNING FROM 3 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ455-472-
     475.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ450-452-470.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR
     GMZ430-432-435.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...04


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