Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS66 KLOX 010008 AAA
AFDLOX

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
508 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

UPDATED AVIATION SECTION

.SYNOPSIS...

NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NIGHT THROUGH MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK.  THERE MAY BE SLIGHT WARMING LATE
IN THE COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-THU)...WEST COAST TROF APPEARS TO BE HERE TO STAY
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 10 DAYS. WILL LIKELY SEE A COUPLE MORE DEGREES
OF COOLING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, THEN JUST MINOR FLUCTUATIONS GOING
INTO THE WEEKEND. A 2000-2500` MARINE LYR WILL PUSH INTO THE VALLEYS
THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS AND CLEAR TO NEAR THE COAST BY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...NOT MUCH CHANGE THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS
SUGGESTING A SLIGHT WARMUP LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
BUT GIVEN THE POSITION OF THE TROF WE MAY ULTIMATELY SEE LITTLE
CHANGE. DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THE MONSOON MOISTURE WELL TO
THE EAST.

&&

.AVIATION...01/0000Z.

AT 00Z...THE MARINE INVERSION AT KLAX WAS AROUND 1700 FEET DEEP. THE
TOP OF THE INVERSION WAS AROUND 2800 FEET WITH A TEMPERATURE OF 23
DEGREES CELSIUS.

NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...IFR CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO COASTAL
TERMINALS BY NO LATER THAN 08Z. THERE IS A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIFR
CONDITIONS BETWEEN 10Z AND 16Z. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
BETWEEN 16Z AND 18Z.

SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION...IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO
COASTAL TERMINALS THROUGH 08Z...THEN INTO VALLEY TERMINALS BY 13Z.
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT CONDITIONS COULD BE PREDOMINANTLY MVFR
CATEGORY. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD REDEVELOP BETWEEN 16Z AND 20Z. THERE
IS A CHANCE THAT MVFR CONDITIONS COULD LINGER INTO 22Z AT SOME
COASTAL TERMINALS.

KLAX...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO KLAX BETWEEN 04Z AND 08Z.
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD REDEVELOP BETWEEN 16Z AND 18Z. THERE IS A 30
PERCENT CHANCE THAT MVFR CONDITIONS COULD LINGER UNTIL 20Z.

KBUR...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO KBUR BETWEEN 07Z AND 11Z.
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD REDEVELOP BETWEEN 15Z AND 17Z. THERE IS A 30
PERCENT CHANCE THAT MVFR CONDITIONS COULD LINGER UNTIL 18Z.

&&

.MARINE...31/200 PM.

OUTER WATERS...GOOD CONFIDENCE IN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS
NORTH OF SAN NICOLAS ISLAND LASTING UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

INNER WATERS...GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INNER WATERS FORECAST. THERE
WILL BE LOCAL SMALL CRAFT GUSTS ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE SBA
CHANNEL AND IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE INNER WATERS ADJACENT TO THE
CENTRAL COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXMWWLOX).

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MW
AVIATION...HALL
MARINE...SWEET
SYNOPSIS...KJ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.