Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 022004
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
304 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...AREA RADARS SHOW AFTERNOON CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN
OUR MOIST MID-STATE ATMOSPHERE, AND SOME AREAS ARE GETTING SOME
HEAVY DOWNPOURS. WILL KEEP LIKELIHOOD FOR STORMS RUNNING IN THE
FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON, WITH AT LEAST SCATTERED
ACTIVITY CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING.

STILL LOOKS LIKE A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN RETURNS TO FOR
MID TO LATE WEEK, WITH MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING POP-UP
THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE KEEPS US PRETTY TOASTY, WITH
HIGHS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BOUNCING INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
90S WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU, AND MAX AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES
PUSHING TO AROUND 100 DEGREES (UGH!).

.LONG TERM...MODELS ALSO REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A STRONG
SHORTWAVE DROPPING INTO OUR NECK OF THE WOODS OVER THE WEEKEND,
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN PROBABLY IN THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING TIME PERIOD. TIMING IS STILL A BIT OF AN
ISSUE WITH A SYSTEM THAT FAR IN THE FUTURE, BUT WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE SOME LIKELY POPS GET INTRODUCED TO THE FORECAST
AT SOME POINT FOR AT LEAST A PART OF OUR WEEKEND FORECAST.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES
TO THE EAST COAST SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, PRODUCING NORTHEAST FLOW
ACROSS THE MID STATE AND BRINGING IN SOME LOWER DEW POINTS. BY NEXT
MONDAY, WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO TRADE MORNING LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S, FOR MORE COMFORTABLE TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      72  91  71  94 /  40  20  20  20
CLARKSVILLE    69  90  68  93 /  20  20  10  20
CROSSVILLE     67  86  65  87 /  50  20  20  20
COLUMBIA       71  92  70  94 /  40  40  20  30
LAWRENCEBURG   69  92  69  94 /  40  40  20  40
WAVERLY        69  91  69  94 /  30  40  20  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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