Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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962
FXUS64 KOHX 082046
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
246 PM CST MON FEB 8 2016

.SHORT TERM...

UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE MID STATE TONIGHT, AS LOW CENTER
MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD FROM INDIANA TO OHIO. DEEP MOISTURE AND
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE
BACKSIDE AND UNDERSIDE OF THIS LOW CENTER, ACROSS MIDDLE TN, TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ALSO CONTINUE TO TURN COLDER, WITH LOWS
BY SUNRISE TUESDAY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 20S.

SKIES REMAIN CLOUDY OVER MOST OF THE MID STATE THROUGH THE DAY
TOMORROW, ALLOWING TEMPS TO ONLY RECOVER SIX OR SEVEN DEGREES.
HIGHS OVER THE EXTREME NORTH AND HIGHLAND RIM PROBABLY WON`T EVEN
MAKE IT TO 30 DEGREES.

SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE FINALLY ENDING ON
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT EXTREME NORTH-CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS TO
PROBABLY PICK UP TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES, WITH THE
GREATEST AMOUNTS ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. LATEST MODEL DATA
SUGGEST THAT AN INCH OF SNOW IS LIKELY ALONG THE HIGHLAND RIM AND
EASTWARD INTO TROUSDALE AND MACON COUNTIES BETWEEN NOW AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. SO WENT AHEAD AND EXTENDED THE NORTHERN PART OF
THE ADVISORY AS FAR WEST AS SUMNER COUNTY.

SNOW AMOUNTS AS LIGHT AS A HALF INCH COULD PRODUCE SOME PATCHY
ICING ALONG UNTREATED ROADWAYS IN AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE ADVISORY
AREA. SO, EVEN FOLKS FURTHER WEST, AROUND CLARKSVILLE...
NASHVILLE...FRANKLIN AND MURFREESBORO SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
SLICK SPOTS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY ALONG UNTREATED
SECONDARY ROADS AND ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

.LONG TERM...

WE STAY IN THIS NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK,
WITH ANOTHER COLD WAVE EXPECTED TO SWEEP IN OVER THE WEEKEND. A
SHORTWAVE THEN DROPS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER SHOT OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
LATE IN THE EXTENDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/CKV/CSV...SURFACE FRONT HAS CLEARED THE MID STATE WITH MOST
LOCATIONS NOW SHOWING A VFR OVERCAST AND A FEW ECHOES STARTING TO
SHOW UP ON RADAR. EXPECT INTERMITTENT LIGHT PRECIPITATION DURING
THE AFTERNOON, BECOMING A LITTLE HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD
TOWARD 00Z. CURRENT OBS SHOW MVFR CIGS STILL FAR UPSTREAM, SO WE
PROBABLY WON`T SEE CIGS DROP BELOW 3KFT UNTIL LATER TONIGHT, WITH
LIGHT SNOW LASTING WELL INTO TOMORROW.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      24  31  18  29  19 /  70  60  20   0   0
CLARKSVILLE    21  28  15  26  16 /  60  60  10   0   0
CROSSVILLE     20  25  14  22  12 /  80  60  30  20   0
COLUMBIA       25  31  17  30  17 /  50  60  10   0   0
LAWRENCEBURG   25  31  17  32  18 /  50  60  10   0   0
WAVERLY        24  30  17  29  17 /  60  60  10   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR CLAY-
CUMBERLAND-DE KALB-FENTRESS-GRUNDY-JACKSON-MACON-OVERTON-PICKETT-
PUTNAM-SMITH-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-VAN BUREN-WARREN-WHITE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION........08
LONG TERM..................19



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