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000
FXUS64 KOHX 191958
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
258 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW IN PLACE AS THE STORM SYSTEM...WHICH BROUGHT
RAINFALL TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF HERE...CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY
AND PROVIDE A CONTINUATION OF MILD TEMPERATURES. GRADIENT WILL
WEAKEN A GOOD BIT ON SUNDAY SO WE WILL SEE LIGHTER WINDS PREVAIL.

GIVEN THE DRY AIRMASS...WILL STILL SEE TEMPS DROP DOWN INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 40S TONIGHT FOR MANY AREAS. BUT...OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
WARMING AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN AND MOISTURE LEVELS BEGIN TO INCH
UP.

ON MONDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN AS
A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW TSTMS BUT
THERE APPEARS TO BE NO RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER.

IN THE EXT FCST...THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK LOOKS NICE AND DRY AS HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH CONTROLS THE WEATHER PATTERN. THE UPPER
PATTERN WILL FEATURE GENERALLY ELEVATED HEIGHTS WITH A TENDENCY
TOWARD RIDGING. THUS...OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS
WHILE HIGH TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL.

BY THE END OF THE WEAK...ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE
AREA. WILL CONTINUE TO INCLUDE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS. STILL
NOT LOOKING LIKE A REAL GOOD SEVERE SPRING EVENT AS THE MID LEVEL
JET STAYS NORTH. HOWEVER...INSTABILITIES ARE INCREASING FROM
PREVIOUS RUNS AND I WONT BE SURPRISED IF STRONG STORMS DO NOT BECOME
MORE OF A POSSIBILITY WITH FUTURE RUNS.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      49  77  54  78 /   0   0   0  20
CLARKSVILLE    48  77  52  77 /   0   0  10  30
CROSSVILLE     45  72  49  73 /   0   0   0  20
COLUMBIA       48  77  53  78 /   0   0   0  20
LAWRENCEBURG   46  76  51  78 /   0   0   0  20
WAVERLY        48  77  53  77 /   0   0  05  30

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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