Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KPBZ 051047
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
647 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES IN THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LATEST IR IMAGERY SHOWS STRATUS TRAPPED EAST OF THE RIDGES WHILE
WHAT`S LEFT OF OVERNIGHT CLOUD COVERAGE OVER THE FORECAST AREA
CONTINUING TO DISSIPATE. DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ARE A LITTLE WIDE
THAN OBSERVED 24HRS AGO...HOWEVER...ISOLATED PATCHES OF FOG ARE
STILL A DECENT BET AROUND AND SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. THE CURRENT
FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES WERE NEEDED THIS MORNING. PREV
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS..

ANOTHER WARM DAY WITH LESS CHANCE OF CONVECTION GIVEN INCREASED
SUBSIDENCE UNDER STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE. EXPECT HIGHS FROM 5
TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE THE AVERAGES ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
MID/UPPER RIDGE IS PROJECTED TO CONTINUE AMPLIFYING ON
SUNDAY...THUS SUPPRESSING CONVECTION POTENTIAL FOR THE START OF
THE NEW WEEK. NO REAL CHANGE IS INDICATED TO THE WARM AIRMASS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES AND RELIEF FROM THE WARMTH ARE
PROJECTED TO COME WITH A MID WEEK COLD FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PATCHY MVFR FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL MID MORNING. IFR
RESTRICTIONS LOOK UNLIKELY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SITES NORTH OF
I80 WHERE FKL AND DUJ MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF DENSER FOG
DEVELOPMENT. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THE CHANCE FOR GENERAL RESTRICTIONS WILL INCREASE WITH THE APPROACH
OF A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$



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