Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 230430
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1130 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. HOWEVER...MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST TERMINALS
06-09Z...AS SLY SURFACE FLOW RESUMES. WE SHOULD SEE SOME
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS. SHWRS/ISOLD
TSTMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARDS THE END OF THE PD...AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO TX. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 945 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE EVENING UPDATE...WE CONTINUE TO SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
THIS IS IN THE GENERAL REGION OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
AND THE NOSE OF A PERSISTENT 25-30KT LOW LEVEL JET. EXPANDED THE
CHANCE POP WORDING OVERNIGHT TO ENCOMPASS A LITTLE MORE OF
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS BUT LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POP WORDING FOR ALL OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

ALSO ADJUSTED SKY COVER OVERNIGHT AS MID AND HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD
FILL IN ACROSS OUR NE ZONES OVERNIGHT WHERE SKIES ARE CURRENTLY
PARTLY CLOUDY. OTHER CHANGES WERE COSMETIC AND INCLUDED MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMP/DEWPOINT AND RH GRIDS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST IS IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE.

UPDATE OUT SHORTLY...13.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  83  71  82 /  10  20  50  70
MLU  60  84  70  86 /   0  20  30  40
DEQ  58  79  68  76 /  30  30  70  80
TXK  60  82  69  80 /  20  30  60  80
ELD  57  83  69  83 /  10  20  30  60
TYR  65  82  71  78 /  20  40  60  80
GGG  64  82  71  80 /  20  40  60  80
LFK  69  83  72  82 /  20  40  50  80

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12



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