Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 182002
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
302 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW THAT MOVED ACROSS OUR REGION OVERNIGHT/THIS MORNING
CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE REDEVELOPMENT OF
CU ACROSS N LA/SRN AR...SKIES SHOULD GO MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT AS
SUBSIDENCE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TAKES OVER.

UPPER RIDGING SHOULD KEEP US DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM FOR SATURDAY
BEFORE SW FLOW TAKES OVER AHEAD OF ANOTHER DISTURBANCE ON SUNDAY.
CHANCES FOR AN ISOLD SHWR/TSTM WILL CREEP IN FOR SUNDAY...MAINLY
ACROSS E TX/SE OK...AND LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY...AS A SLOW-MOVING
COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE REGION.

RIDGING AT THE SFC AND ALOFT WILL CLEAR US OUT FOR WEDNESDAY...BUT
ANOTHER TROF/COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS THURSDAY.
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOW-MOVING ONCE AGAIN...KEEPING CHANCES
FOR SHWRS/TSTMS AROUND THROUGH THE END OF THE FCST PD.

ALL IN ALL NOTHING OVERLY SIGNIFICANT...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE
FACT THAT APRIL IS CLIMATOLOGICALLY OUR MOST ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER
MONTH. TEMPS WILL LIKELY RUN ABOVE NORMAL/GUIDANCE WITH LITTLE TO
NO COLD AIR INTRUSION EXPECTED THIS PD. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

AVIATION...
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO SHIFT EAST THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR
SKIES TO CLEAR FROM THE WEST AREAWIDE THROUGH THE TERMINAL
FORECAST PERIOD. EAST NORTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON 5 TO 10 KNOTS
TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND THEN EAST SOUTHEAST 5
KNOTS ON SATURDAY. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  81  58  82  61 /  10  10  10  10  20
MLU  53  78  55  82  59 /  10  10  10  10  20
DEQ  49  78  51  77  58 /  10  10  10  20  40
TXK  52  78  56  80  60 /  10  10  10  20  30
ELD  51  78  53  81  58 /  10  10  10  10  20
TYR  54  79  59  79  60 /  10  10  10  20  20
GGG  54  80  57  81  60 /  10  10  10  10  20
LFK  55  81  58  82  60 /  10  10  10  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12






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