Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 221332
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
932 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA
THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO WASH OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PENINSULA LATER TODAY/TONIGHT. LIGHT N/NE FLOW WILL BECOME NW
LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH THE SEA BREEZE AND ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO WASH OUT OVERNIGHT
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH RETURNING
EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. EASTERLY FLOW UNDER HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND HAVE NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
LIGHT N/NE FLOW WILL BECOME NW FOR THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
AS THE SEA BREEZE SETS UP. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE BEST CHANCES SOUTH. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH MVFR
POSSIBLE IN ANY STORMS THAT MOVE OVER A TERMINAL.

&&

.MARINE...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN PLACE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THIS
MORNING WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR SATURDAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK BRINGING E/SE WINDS TO THE COASTAL WATERS AND ALSO
CAUSING AN EVENING SURGE IN WINDS THAT WILL BRING SPEEDS UP TO
SCEC/SCA LEVELS FOR A FEW HOURS EACH NIGHT. LATER EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY.
CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH THIS AND HAVE NO MAJOR CHANGES
FOR THE UPDATE PLANNED.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER/MARINE...24/HUBBARD
DECISION SUPPORT...05/CARLISLE



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