Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 050100 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
900 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...NATURES FIREWORKS LIGHTING UP THE TAMPA BAY AREA TONIGHT...

.UPDATE...
ANOTHER DAY OF FAIRLY ROBUST SUMMER CONVECTION FOR MUCH OF THE
STATE OF FLORIDA TODAY. SOME VIGOROUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ARE STILL
ENABLING CONVECTION AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AREA AT THIS HOUR. HAVE
UPDATED THE FORECAST BASED OFF OBSERVED TRENDS AND CONTINUING
EXPECTATIONS THAT CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. UPDATED ZONES HAVE BEEN TRANSMITTED TO UPDATE THE FORECAST
FOR THIS INDEPENDENCE DAY EVENING.

JUST WANT TO REMIND EVERYONE THAT LIGHTNING IS A THREAT AROUND
THUNDERSTORMS...EVEN IF THEY ARE 15 MILES AWAY! IF THUNDER
ROARS...GO INDOORS. WAITING 30 TO 60 MINUTES AFTER THUNDER STOPS
TO ENJOY INDEPENDENCE DAY ACTIVITIES WILL HELP KEEP YOU SAFE FROM
NATURE/S FIREWORKS.

&&

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY VFR EXCEPT FOR BRIEF MVFR AROUND CONVECTION. TERMINALS
DIRECTLY IMPACTED BY THUNDERSTORMS COULD SEE BOUTS OF IFR/LIFR.
WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...WITH AFTERNOON SEA
BREEZES AND THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS
LATER IN THE DAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD
REMAIN AWARE OF THUNDERSTORMS GENERATED BY REMNANT BOUNDARIES
RETREATING OFFSHORE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  78  92  78  92 /  30  50  20  40
FMY  75  93  75  93 /  20  50  20  40
GIF  75  94  75  93 /  30  60  20  50
SRQ  76  91  76  92 /  30  50  20  30
BKV  73  93  72  92 /  30  60  20  50
SPG  79  92  80  91 /  30  50  20  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...02/GARCIA
DECISION SUPPORT...69/CLOSE
DATA COLLECTION/UPPER AIR...74/WYNN


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