Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS28 KWNS 212019
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

VALID 231200Z - 291200Z

BY D3/TUE...CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE WRN GREAT BASIN ON D1/SUN WILL
HAVE TRANSITIONED INTO AN OPEN WAVE...WHICH IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE CNTRL ROCKIES AND INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. FARTHER W...A
DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH THE PACIFIC NW. STRONG
SWLY UPPER FLOW THROUGHOUT THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO IMPACT NRN CA AND THE PACIFIC NW ON D3/TUE AND D4/WED
AND THE WRN GREAT BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES ON D5/THU. WHILE CONDITIONS
WILL BE SOMEWHAT MODERATED BY AVERAGE TO BELOW-AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES...MIN RH VALUES BETWEEN 15 TO 20 PERCENT ARE POSSIBLE
AMIDST SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH FROM E-CNTRL ORE SWD
INTO FAR NW NV ON D3/TUE AND D4/WED. FUELS WILL LIKELY ONLY BE
MODERATELY FAVORABLE BUT SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION.

D5/THU THROUGH D8/SUN...PREDICTABILITY BEGINS TO DECREASE AS MODEL
GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER TROUGH. EVEN WITH
DIFFERING FORECASTS...MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST A LOW FIRE WEATHER
THREAT FROM MID-WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

..MOSIER.. 09/21/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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