Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 022116
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0316 PM CST MON MAR 02 2015

VALID 041200Z - 101200Z

A DEEP UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO COVER MUCH OF THE CNTRL/WRN CONUS
AT THE START OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD ON WEDNESDAY. THE BULK OF THIS
TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD WITH TIME AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE
PACIFIC COAST/GREAT BASIN...WITH SOME REMNANT OF THE UPPER TROUGH
EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST
HALF OF THE PERIOD. WHILE THERE IS SOME MODEL SPREAD REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF THESE FEATURES...THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT IN THE
MAINTENANCE OF BENIGN FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE MUCH OF THE
CONUS.

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SRN CA INTO THE
SOUTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND
UNFAVORABLE FUELS SHOULD LIMIT THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT. THIS
WEEKEND...RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE DEEP
SOUTH INTO FLORIDA IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...BUT ANTECEDENT
PRECIPITATION/MOIST FUELS AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS SHOULD LIMIT THE
THREAT IN THIS REGION AS WELL.

..DEAN.. 03/02/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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