Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 300721
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A COMPACT SHORTWAVE MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE DAKOTAS
AND WILL REACH THE UPPER MS VALLEY BY EARLY WED MORNING. A WEAK
UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ERRATICALLY ACROSS AZ...BUT WILL DRIFT
IN A GENERAL SEWD DIRECTION. A MIDLEVEL ANTICYCLONE WILL BECOME
CENTERED OVER NRN CA...IN ASSOCIATION WITH RIDGING NEAR THE PACIFIC
COAST. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL
PLAINS INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.

...NERN AZ...NWRN NM...
MARGINAL DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR AMIDST MODEST MIDLEVEL
MOISTENING ALONG THE NRN PERIPHERY OF A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER SRN AZ.
THIS WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TSTMS ACROSS HIGHER
TERRAIN AREAS /INCLUDING THE MOGOLLON RIM OF NERN AZ/ DURING THE
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH STORM MOTIONS WILL BE VERY SLOW...MODEL FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW A VERY DRY AND DEEPLY MIXED SUB-CLOUD LAYER...AS ANY
MOISTURE INCREASE ASSOCIATED WITH A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS WILL REMAIN E OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

..ROGERS.. 05/30/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$



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