Tropical Weather Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020925
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED SEP 2 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.7N
142.2W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N136W TO 19N133W TO 08N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 24 FT NEAR 18M140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W 1005
MB AT 0900 UTC MOVING NNW 335 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB.
THE SYSTEM APPEARS POORLY ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT A
LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM NE OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY
TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE AND WEAKENING OCCURS
W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24
KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 08N82W TO 10N94W TO
09N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 84W-93W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1030 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 42N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 23N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO
SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 03N122W TO 00N115W.
BY THU NIGHT SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 04.5N
BETWEEN 102W AND 132W.

$$
MUNDELL


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.