Short Term Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FPUS74 KTSA 301746
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-302000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 12:46 PM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALSO
CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...IN THE WAKE OF AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA.

THROUGH 3:00 PM...AS WE ENTER PEAK HEATING AND INSTABILITY
CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE. IN GENERAL...LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON FOR MOST LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER
INCH. WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR...HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE
INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY...AND DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
CONVECTION...MAY RESULT IN VERY LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE
OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$



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