Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
520
FNUS73 KBIS 090935
FWSBIS
Spot Forecast for Uhde WPA...USFWS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
435 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly clear skies becoming to partly cloudy to partly clear can be expected
across the fire area today. A light north wind increasing to 7 to 12 mph is
also expected today. Humidity values this afternoon should hover around 40 percent.
After a few isolated showers this evening, a weak front will push through tonight.
This will bring dry and breezier conditions on Friday. Humidity values could lower
to near 30 percent, while northwest winds around 20 mph gusting to near 30
mph are forecast. Mainly clear skies and seasonable temperatures are also
expected for Friday.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mainly clear becoming partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north northwest
7 to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (98100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to very good (112400
knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75 73 69 65 61 54 46 39 45 50 47 47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............47 48 49 53 58 61 64 66 66 67 68 68
RH..............83 81 80 71 62 53 46 42 43 40 39 40
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..4 6 9 9 10 11 12 12 12 13 13 12
20 FT wind gust.10 10 12 14 14 15 15 15 18 18 18 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 3.2 5.8 6.6 7.3 7.6 7.9 8.1 7.5
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.13 12 12 12 17 20 20 20 20 21 21 21
Haines index....3 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..5 4 5 10 48 98 112 125 129 142 145 136
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy then becoming clear
near sunrise. Slight chance of rain showers
in the evening.
CWR.................Less than 5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph increasing to
10 to 15 mph after 0000.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (111900 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(4400 knot-ft) early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45 46 49 47 49 53 51 42 37 35 14 5
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............67 66 63 59 57 56 55 54 52 50 48 47
RH..............42 45 52 62 67 74 74 77 77 77 74 74
20 FT wind dir..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..12 11 9 8 7 9 10 12 12 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.17 15 13 11 10 12 15 18 17 17 17 19
Mix hgt (kft)...7.1 6.2 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.21 21 13 13 12 14 14 14 15 15 15 16
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
Dispr kt-ft/1K..128 112 13 7 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 22 mph with afternoon
gusts around 27 mph.
Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 20 to 30
mph late in the morning, with a few higher gusts.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7100 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (41800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to very good (117300
knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to
excellent (201500 knot-ft) in the afternoon
late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........7 7 31 29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............46 54 63 66
RH..............73 57 39 33
20 FT wind......NW 12G18 NW 16G22 NW 17G25 NW 18G24
Mix hgt (ft)....500 1200 6400 8200
Transport wind..NW 17 NW 21 NW 29 NW 28
Haines index....4 5 5 5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..7 22 157 200
$$
Forecaster...ANGLIN
Requested by...Dustin Mireles
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413568.0/BIS
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dustin_mireles@fws.gov