Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FXUS63 KABR 291522 AAB
AFDABR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1022 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1022 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

THE CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. NO CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHER TIER CONUS TODAY...WITH
WEAK MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION NOW OVER EASTERN COUNTIES. AS A
RESULT...MIXED DOWN WINDS WILL APPROACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR
MAINLY THE COTEAU INTO MINNESOTA. THE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOWEVER. FLOW ALOFT AND DRY LOW LEVELS CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WARMEST READINGS
ARE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY...BUT FRIDAY WILL SEE A BACKDOOR FRONT
SUPPRESS THE HEAT EAST OF THE JAMES VALLEY.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE LONG
TERM...WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH
UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE SURFACE PATTERN WILL FEATURE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. AS THE HIGH GETS PUSHED
SOUTHEAST BY AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON SATURDAY...MAY SEE A
FEW RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. DRY
CONDITIONS THEN DOMINATE AGAIN UNTIL THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE
MOVES THROUGH IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY MONDAY
NIGHT INTO THE DAY TUESDAY.

THE WEEKEND WILL FEATURE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WILL SEE JUST A SLIGHT COOL DOWN
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 624 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 30 MPH RANGE ACROSS
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA...AND INTO THE 25 TO
40MPH RANGE ACROSS THE EAST BY MID MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AROUND SUNSET.


&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR SDZ007-008-011-
     019>023.

MN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MNZ039-046.

&&

$$

UPDATE...SD
SHORT TERM...CONNELLY
LONG TERM...PARKIN
AVIATION...PARKIN



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