Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FXAK69 PAFG 181351
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
551 AM AKDT FRI APR 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE SIMILAR THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE MODELS ARE FALLING MORE
IN LINE WITH EACH OTHER. LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER MOST OF NORTHERN
ALASKA WILL GIVE WAY RAPIDLY TO AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN
BY LATE FRI NIGHT.

THE RIDGE WILL ACTUALLY SQUASH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS IN
THE BERING AS OPPOSED TO 24 HOURS AGO WHERE THE MODELS HAD THE
TROUGH UNDERCUTTING THE RIDGE.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL STAND IT GROUND AND NOT ALLOW FOR THE
NEXT DIGGING TROUGH FROM THE WEST TO PENETRATE THE RIDGE.

WINDS ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL BE DIMINISHING THROUGH TONIGHT.
AREAS NEAR SAY POINT HOPE MAY STAY WINDY INTO SAT BUT THAT WILL BE
ABOUT IT.

THE MODELS HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING THAT THE TEMPERATURES WILL COOL
ALOFT FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. HOWEVER...THIS HAS NOT
MATERIALIZED SO WE ARE NOT GOING TO ALLOW THE MODELS TO INFLUENCE
TO A HIGHER TEMP.



&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RH VALIUMS WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT FURTHER TODAY
AFTER INCREASING A BIT YESTERDAY. DO NOT EXPECT ANY RED FLAG
ADVISORIES TODAY.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225.
&&

$$

CF APR 14



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