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000
FXUS64 KBMX 020537
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1137 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

AN MCV MOVED ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA THIS EVENING AND THIS IS WHERE
MOST OF THE RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE SUNSET. THE IMPULSE IS WEAKENING
AND THE RAIN SHIELD IS BECOMING SMALLER AND LESS DEFINED. SOME
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA. THE RAIN
SHOULD BECOME MORE FOCUSED ACROSS EXTREME NORTH ALABAMA AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN STEADY OR POSSIBLY FALL A FEW MORE
DEGREES OVERNIGHT...DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND STRONG INVERSION JUST
ABOVE THE SURFACE.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WE`VE SEEN SOME HIGHLY FLUCTUATING CIGS THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IFR
CIGS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS WITHIN THE HOUR. CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE TO LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS LATER TONIGHT
THANKS TO CONTINUED ISENTROPIC LIFT AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THE
LOW CIGS WILL CAUSE RESTRICTIONS TO VIS AS WELL. STILL NOT SEEING
ANYTHING THAT WOULD SUGGEST SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS ON MONDAY SO
WILL MAINTAIN IFR CIGS THRU THE DAY FOR NOW. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THRU THE PERIOD.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     47  52  47  68  61 /  90  70  60  40  40
ANNISTON    48  55  51  69  62 /  60  60  60  30  40
BIRMINGHAM  51  53  51  71  63 /  60  70  60  30  40
TUSCALOOSA  52  55  52  74  64 /  60  70  50  30  40
CALERA      51  57  54  72  63 /  60  60  40  30  40
AUBURN      48  64  57  72  62 /  60  30  40  30  20
MONTGOMERY  51  65  58  75  64 /  60  30  30  20  20
TROY        50  65  58  75  63 /  60  20  20  20  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$