Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 032011
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
311 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

ASIDE FROM A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN COUNTIES...
DRY CONDITIONS HAVE PREVAILED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON THE
WESTERN SIDE OF AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A
SIMILAR SITUATION WILL OCCUR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH ONLY SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE EAST WHERE THE HIGHEST PWATS WILL COMBINE
WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT. RELATIVELY LOW BUT NON-ZERO RAIN
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NO SIGN OF SOUTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING UNTIL AT LEAST SUNDAY OR MAYBE MONDAY. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES SHOULD EVENTUALLY INCREASE ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT. TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT
WEEK WILL BE NEAR NORMAL VALUES FOR EARLY JUNE.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SCT CU AROUND 4500 FT THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN
THE EAST BUT CHANCES TOO LOW TO MENTION RIGHT NOW. MODELS HINTING
AT SOME PATCHY LOWER CEILINGS AGAIN WITH SOME WEAK EASTERLY
ISENTROPIC FLOW. BETTER CHANCES ARE PROBABLY NEAR ANB BUT WILL NOT
INCLUDE AT THIS TIME DUE TO WEAK FLOW. DEWPOINTS HAVE DROPPED
SEVERAL DEGREES THE PAST FEW HOURS WITH DAYTIME HEATING SO FOG
CHANCES SEEM MINIMAL EXCEPT IN MGM AND TOI WHERE READINGS HAVE
BEEN HOLDING STEADY. WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT...COULD
SEE SOME PATCHY VIS ISSUES OR PERHAPS LOWER CEILINGS IN THOSE
LOCATIONS LATE TONIGHT. WHAT CLOUDS DO DEVELOP WILL MIX OUT AS IN
PREVIOUS MORNINGS.

88

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     63  83  64  88  65 /  10  20  10  20  10
ANNISTON    65  84  65  88  66 /  20  20  10  20  10
BIRMINGHAM  65  86  67  89  68 /  10  20  10  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  64  89  67  91  69 /   0  10  10  10  10
CALERA      65  86  67  89  69 /  10  10  10  10  10
AUBURN      65  84  66  87  69 /  20  20  10  20  10
MONTGOMERY  67  89  69  91  70 /  10  20  10  20  10
TROY        66  88  67  89  69 /  20  20  10  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

87/88


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