Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 301737 AAB
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1237 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

All of the precipitation from this morning has moved to the east
and dissipated leaving behind a more stable atmosphere across the
region. There is still ample low level moisture in place and
scattered cumulus clouds have begun to develop. For the remainder
of the afternoon...VFR conditions should prevail with light/var
winds becoming southeast. There is a low chance for thunderstorms
to develop again later this afternoon but coverage should be less
than yesterday so no mention in the latest TAF is warranted at
this time.

Additional thunderstorms are expected to develop later today
across west Texas but flow aloft is weaker than yesterday so these
should not make it all the way to North Texas again tonight. MVFR
cigs are expected toward morning and will make mention of this in
the latest forecast.

On Tuesday...the atmosphere across North Texas will become very
unstable again with a weak disturbance approaching the area.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across parts of
the area during the afternoon. Will include a VCTS at DFW from
20-24Z.

Dunn

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1044 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016/
The MCS that moved across North Texas overnight has moved east and
dissipated while the MCS that moved across Central Texas continues
to head southeast into the Coastal Bend region. Both of these
systems have stabilized the airmass over the region and PoPs for
the remainder of the day will be just 10-20 percent. The 20 PoPs
will be over the southeast zones, where a pocket of untapped
instability remains this morning, and also across the western
zones where several hours of afternoon sunshine are expected. In
these areas a few showers or storms may pop up with heating, but
without a lot of flow, they should remain stationary and generally
disorganized. Elsewhere, the mid and high clouds will gradually
clear, but once temps warm into the 80s some cumulus should
develop. Have adjusted the sky cover forecast and lowered high
temps a few degrees in some areas as a result.

TR.92

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    88  70  85  69  82 /  20  20  40  60  70
Waco                88  67  85  67  82 /  40  20  40  50  70
Paris               86  68  84  67  79 /  60  30  20  50  70
Denton              88  68  84  66  80 /  20  30  40  70  70
McKinney            87  68  85  67  81 /  30  20  30  60  70
Dallas              88  71  85  69  82 /  20  20  30  60  70
Terrell             87  68  85  68  82 /  40  20  30  50  70
Corsicana           86  69  86  69  81 /  30  20  30  50  70
Temple              84  67  83  67  81 /  60  20  40  50  70
Mineral Wells       87  68  82  65  79 /  20  30  50  70  70

&&

.FWD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$



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