Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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FXUS61 KGYX 181853
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
253 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS AND BE FOLLOWED BY A STRONG NORTHWEST WIND ON SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A STORM
SYSTEM LOOKS TO AFFECT THE REGION MIDWEEK WITH RAIN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE MARINE STRATUS CONTINUES TO FLIRT WITH THE COAST OF NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE THIS AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE HIGHER
CLOUDS WERE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE COLD
FRONT SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
LINGERING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY AND BRISK WITH
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH DEVELOPING BEHIND THE
DEPARTING COLD FRONT. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM UPPER 40S IN THE
MOUNTAINS TO NEAR 60F IN SEACOAST NEW HAMPSHIRE.

MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES
ACROSS THE AREA WITH LOWS RANGING FROM 20 TO 30.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE A DIGGING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SFC LOW PRESSURE AFFECTS THE AREA LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK AND
AMPLIFICATION OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND FETCH OF POTENTIAL
MOIST INFLOW...RAIN COULD BE HEAVY FOR A TIME. HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL HIGH UNCERTAINTY ON QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM. THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY SHOULD FEATURE FAIR...COOL...AND WINDY WEATHER IN THE WAKE
OF THE SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...AREAS OF MVFR THROUGH
TONIGHT...THEN VFR WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON SAT TO 30 KT.

LONG TERM...VFR EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH MVFR OR LOWER
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...THE SMALL CRAFT FOR
HAZARDOUS SEAS CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT. BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY SUB-SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. CHANCES FOR SCA CONDITIONS INCREASE MIDWEEK WITH
POTENTIAL COASTAL LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON
SATURDAY MAY APPROACH METEOROLOGICAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
WE CONTINUE TO SEE RIVER LEVELS SLOWLY RECEDING. PLEASE CONSULT
THE LATEST PWMFLSGYX AND PWMFLWGYX FOR DETAILS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 8 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/EKSTER









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