


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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967 FXUS63 KICT 140814 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 314 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - An isolated afternoon shower or two will remain possible over far southeast Kansas through mid-week but most locations will remain dry. - The best opportunity for another round of more widespread showers and storms will arrive late Wed into Thu across the area. - Warmer on Tue-Wed with a brief cooldown followed by rising temperatures next weekend.| && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 313 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 The pesky upper trough laying across the Middle Mississippi Valley area has shifted slightly eastward which will result in lower pops across the forecast area through the middle of the week. Residual low level moisture across southeast KS will allow for an uncapped airmass this afternoon and again on Tuesday across only a slim portion of southeast KS where some low pops were maintained as we expect an isolated diurnally driven shower or two each day. With some drier air in central KS and plenty of insolation more seasonable temperatures will also return with highs in the low to mid 90s today followed by mid and upper 90s on Tue while southeast KS tops out in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Wednesday-Thursday...A shortwave trough moving across the Northern Plains on Wednesday will drive a cold front southward into the Central Plains late in the period. This front will become a focus for showers and storms beginning late Wednesday. The front is progged to stall across the region on Thu-Thu night before returning north as a warm front on Friday. This will result in a period of unsettled weather over the region with better chances for showers and storms and a brief cooldown. Fri-Sun...Some diurnally driven storms will remain in the forecast through the period but we expect to see rising heights/increasing thickness supporting rising temperatures as we move into the weekend. Most locations are expected to see highs in the mid and upper 90s. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1217 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. There`s a slight chance for some shallow fog across portions of southeast Kansas, and brief MVFR to IFR vis may occur in localized spots. However, mostly clear skies are expected to prevail through the TAF period area-wide. Winds will continue to remain light and variable through much of the TAF period. Though they could become more uniform out of the south late this afternoon while remaining under 10 knots. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...MWM AVIATION...JC