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000
FXUS63 KICT 112328
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
528 PM CST WED DEC 11 2013

UPDATED 00Z AVIATION SECTION.

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 PM CST WED DEC 11 2013

POLAR SURFACE HIGH OVER THE KANSAS REGION THIS EVENING...WILL SHIFT
SOUTHEAST OUT OF OUR AREA THURSDAY AS LEE TROUGHING DEEPENS OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS. CLEAR AND COLDER THAN AVERAGE WEATHER WILL PREVAIL
TONIGHT. SUNNY SKIES AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES
TO WARM CLOSER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ON THURSDAY.

A WEATHER SYSTEM OFF THE NORTHERN BAJA COAST IS PROGGED TO EJECT
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
EVENING. LOW STRATUS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT AS SOUTHERLY FLOW ADVECTS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
NORTHWARD. THE EJECTING PV ANOMALY MAY PRODUCE SOME LIGHT
PRECIPITATION MAINLY ALONG/EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE. THE
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE A CHALLENGE FRIDAY MORNING AND NIGHT.
THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY MORNING
BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO RAIN AS TEMPS CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING. AS
COLDER AIR SURGES SOUTHWARD ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OR
FLURRIES EAST OF THE TURNPIKE FRIDAY NIGHT. NOT EXPECTING ANY SNOW
ACCUMULATION. CONFIDENCE ON FREEZING PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL IS LOW.
ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL...BUT COULD RESULT
IN SLICK SPOTS ON OVERPASSES OR UNTREATED SURFACES.

JMC

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 PM CST WED DEC 11 2013

UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION FROM DRY NORTHWESTERLY
TO DRY WESTERLY BY MIDWEEK...WITH THE MAIN STORM TRACKS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER STATES. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES.

JMC

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 527 PM CST WED DEC 11 2013

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
JUST A GRADUAL WIND SHIFT TO THE SE AND EVENTUALLY THE SW BY THU.

KETCHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    14  42  27  43 /   0   0  10  20
HUTCHINSON      14  44  25  43 /   0   0  10  20
NEWTON          13  41  25  42 /   0   0  10  20
ELDORADO        14  41  28  42 /   0   0  10  30
WINFIELD-KWLD   15  41  29  43 /   0   0  10  30
RUSSELL         13  45  23  45 /   0   0  10  10
GREAT BEND      14  46  23  45 /   0   0  10  10
SALINA          12  44  23  40 /   0   0  10  10
MCPHERSON       14  43  24  42 /   0   0  10  20
COFFEYVILLE     10  38  30  42 /   0   0  10  50
CHANUTE         11  39  27  41 /   0   0  10  50
IOLA            11  39  27  40 /   0   0  10  50
PARSONS-KPPF    12  39  29  41 /   0   0  10  50

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$