Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 261326
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
726 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.MARINE...WINDS ARE DECREASING QUICKLY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
THIS MORNING AND A LITTLE EARLIER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE
SCA AND SCEC STATEMENTS HAVE BEEN SCALED BACK. AN UPDATED CWF AND
MWW HAS BEEN SENT.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 533 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
PER ALL THE DRY AIR SHOWN IN FORECAST SOUNDINGS/TIME-HEIGHT
SECTIONS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. ENHANCED NRLY WINDS MAINLY
SRN SITES WILL LINGER TO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE GRADIENT RELAXES
AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES.

25

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE GULF AND AWAY FROM
THE REGION THIS MORNING LEAVING THE AREA WITH COOL AND DRY WEATHER
THAT WILL LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEAR CLIMO VALUES TODAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A RATHER STRONG SYSTEM WILL
AFFECT NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH THE FLOW WEST
AND SOUTHWEST OF THIS SYSTEM GENERALLY FROM THE NORTH AND WEST.
THIS WILL KEEP OUR AREA DRY WITH TEMPS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TUE
AND WED. DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK WEAK RIDGING WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS LIFTS NE
TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION SWINGING A WEAK FRONT SOUTH THU THAT
WILL STALL IN THE GULF. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO CA AND
GRADUALLY CUT OFF AND DIG SOUTH. THIS WILL INCREASE CLOUDS BY LATE
WEEK AND RAIN CHANCES BY THE WEEKEND AS OVERRUNNING OCCURS.

MARINE...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. AS
THE RIDGE MOVES IN TODAY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE. WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THU KEEPING
MARINE CONDITIONS OUT OF SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  63  45  71  46  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  64  46  71  48  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  60  42  68  42  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  44  69  44  67 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

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&&

$$







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