Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FXUS64 KLIX 300833
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
333 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...
NOT MUCH TO TALK ABOUT SINCE ERIKA WAS TAKEN OFF THE TABLE
YESTERDAY. ANOTHER QUIET MORNING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS
TEMPERATURES ARE COMFORTABLE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS FORECAST AN UPPER TROUGH KICKS OUT
TODAY AS ANOTHER ONE DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS BY LATE TOMORROW AND THAT
IS EXPECTED TO CUT OFF OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL KEEP DEEPER
MOISTURE EAST OF THE AREA. I HAVE REMOVED THE POPS FOR MOST OF THE
BEGINNING OF THE WEEK AS GUIDANCE HAS COME IN DRIER FOR THE FIRST
PART OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND AS WE START CLIMBING
INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
13/MH

.LONG TERM...
AS WE GET INTO MIDWEEK AND BEYOND RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS
MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION BREAKS OUT. WILL CONTINUE WITH
PREVIOUS FORECAST AND CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR
WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND. FORECAST TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE PRETTY CLOSE TO
NORMAL...MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
ONCE AGAIN NO ISSUES WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE FCST. /CAB/

&&

.MARINE...
WITH THE DEMISE OF ERIKA IT LOOKS LIKE THE MARINE FCST WILL
CONTINUE TO BE RATHER BENIGN. A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE FCST WILL LEAD TO RELATIVELY LIGHT
WINDS AND SEAS 3 FEET OR LESS. /CAB/

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE....GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...NONE.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  91  69  93  70 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  91  70  93  72 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  91  69  93  71 /  10  10  10  10
MSY  90  74  91  75 /  10  10  10  10
GPT  88  72  90  72 /  10  10  10  10
PQL  88  70  92  70 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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