Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FXUS64 KOHX 270208
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
908 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

.UPDATE...AREA OF RAIN CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS
MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS EVENING, WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING IN THE
COOLER, POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS. CLEARING LINE HAS ALREADY REACHED
CLARKSVILLE WITH THE UPPER TROUGH POISED TO MOVE ACROSS THE MID
STATE OVERNIGHT. HOURLY GRIDS SEEM TO BE HOLDING UP WELL, SO NO
CHANGES ARE PLANNED TO THE ACTUAL FORECAST. WILL UPDATE THE PUBLIC
FORECAST LATER ON TO REMOVE THE "EVENING" WORDING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 623 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015/

UPDATE...FOR 00Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WHILE THE FRONT RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CURRENT RAINFALL ACROSS THE
MID-STATE IS COMPLETELY THROUGH THE AREA...LIGHT POST-FRONTAL RAIN
AND IFR CONDITIONS PERSIST. VISIBLE SATELLITE REVEALS THE CLEARING
LINE IS COMING ACROSS THE MS RIVER AT ISSUANCE TIME...SO SKC WILL
SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE STATE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. DRY AIR
FILTERING IN SHOULD MITIGATE ANY VIS DROP TONIGHT AFTER SKIES
CLEAR AT KCKV AND KBNA...BUT EVEN AFTER THE RAINS END AFTER
MIDNIGHT AT KCSV...VIS WILL LIKELY DROP OFF TO AT LEAST
IFR...MAYBE EVEN LIFR BY DAY BREAK.

NW WINDS WILL ALSO PERSIST OVERNIGHT...THOUGH THEY SHOULD RELAX A
LITTLE THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND PICK BACK UP AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

UNGER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 229 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...

FRONTAL SYSTEM NOW EAST OF NASHVILLE WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPS POURING
INTO THE MID STATE AT EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMPS ALREADY DOWN INTO THE
MIDDLE 40S AT CLARKSVILLE WITH CROSSVILLE HOLDING AT 70 DEGREES
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN WORKING ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH MORE WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN DEVELOPING BACK
ACROSS WEST TENNESSEE AND WESTERN KENTUCKY THAT WILL SPREAD EASTWARD
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. SHARP
UPPER TROUGH AXIS DOWN THROUGH FAR WESTERN TENNESSEE WILL SHIFT
SLOWLY EAST TONIGHT. LATEST H-TRIPLE-R RUN SHOWING RAIN BASICALLY
EAST AND SOUTH OF NASHVILLE BY 01Z THIS EVENING AND CONTINUES TO
TREND SLOWER. LOWS TONIGHT DOWN INTO THE LOW TO MIDDLE 30S. THERE
COULD BE AN ISOLATED SPOT OR TWO THAT CLIPS THE FREEZING MARK NEAR THE
KENTUCKY BORDER TONIGHT FROM STEWART COUNTY EAST INTO ROBERTSON
COUNTY. CHILLY FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER AND HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. FRIDAY NIGHT TEMPS DOWN INTO THE
LOW TO MIDDLE 20S SO LOOKING FOR A HARD FREEZE SOME AREAS. HAVE
ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH FOR LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
IF YOU`VE GOT COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS OUTDOORS BEST TO BRING THEM
INSIDE. SHORT WAVE DROPS DOWN RAPIDLY IN NORTHWEST FLOW SUNDAY
NIGHT BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN AND EXITS DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY. HIGHS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY IN THE 60S WITH HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY IN THE 70S WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE DIVES DOWN IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095.

&&

$$

ROSE



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