Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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921
FXUS63 KSGF 252014
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
314 PM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Diurnally driven isolated convection will diminish by late
afternoons before attention turns to the lumbering front off to
the west. Upper level low over Wyoming this morning will advect
into southern Ontario while the base of the trough spins over the
four corners. The associated cold front tied to the Ontario low
will bring the band of showers and thunderstorms eastward into
western Missouri tonight into Tuesday...and much of the forecast
area on Wednesday before losing its upward support as the flow
separates and moisture convergences becomes shunted southward over
the southern plains.

Rain and cloud cover will initiate the well advertised cooling
trend on Tuesday...with cold air advection entering Missouri on
the back side of the front on Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

The end of the work week will see a return to seasonably normal
temperatures and dry weather as an upper trough digs into the NE
US and a ridge builds across the Plains in advance of yet another
deep western trough early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Somewhat better TSRA chances in the KJLN area this afternoon
compared to KSGF and KBBG but overall coverage to be less than
yesterday. Convection will be on the increase over southeast KS
during the day but believe timing to hold off until the afternoon
at KJLN.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Hatch



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