Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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AXUS74 KTSA 291831
DGTTSA
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-
079-091-097-101-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-127-131-135-143-145-
147-300645-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
131 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2014

...RECENT RAINFALL PROVIDES LIMITED RELIEF...

SYNOPSIS...

RAINFALL OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS HAS HELPED TO ALLEVIATE THE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...HOWEVER...RECEIVED LOWER
AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION...ALLOWING THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO
PERSIST.

ACCORDING TO THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR /USDA/ VALID 24 JUNE
2014...

EXTREME DROUGHT /D3/ CONDITIONS REMAINED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WITHIN NORTHERN
WASHINGTON...OSAGE...PAWNEE...AND WESTERN CREEK COUNTIES.

SEVERE DROUGHT /D2/ CONDITIONS PERSISTED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE HIGHWAY 44
CORRIDOR...INCLUDING NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST OSAGE...SOUTHERN
WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...ROGERS...TULSA...EASTERN
CREEK...WESTERN OKMULGEE...AND NORTHERN OKFUSKEE COUNTIES...AS
WELL AS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF CHOCTAW COUNTY IN FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.

MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ CONDITIONS EXTENDED FROM OTTAWA COUNTY
SOUTHWEST INTO OKFUSKEE COUNTY...WITHIN
CRAIG...MAYES...TULSA...WAGONER...OKMULGEE...AND FAR NORTHERN
MUSKOGEE. ADDITIONAL AREAS OF D1 DROUGHT CONTINUED IN FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING SOUTHERN PUSHMATAHA AND EASTERN
CHOCTAW COUNTIES.

ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ CONDITIONS PERSISTED ACROSS FAR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEAST OF THE HIGHWAY 44 CORRIDOR...AND NORTH OF THE
CANADIAN RIVER...INCLUDING SOUTHEAST MAYES...DELAWARE...EASTERN
WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...SEQUOYAH...MCINTOSH...NORTHERN
HASKELL...FAR SOUTHERN OKMULGEE...SOUTHERN OKFUSKEE. ADDITIONAL
AREAS OF D0 DROUGHT CONTINUED WITHIN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING SOUTHERN LATIMER AND PUSHMATAHA COUNTIES. D0
DROUGHT ALSO REMAINED OVER MUCH OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...ACROSS
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...AND NORTHERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES.

THE USDA IS A COLLABORATIVE EFFORT BETWEEN SEVERAL GOVERNMENT AND
ACADEMIC PARTNERS. IT IS A WEEKLY NATIONAL PRODUCT ISSUED ON
THURSDAY MORNING USING DATA COLLECTED THROUGH THE PRECIOUS TUESDAY
MORNING...SO IT DOES NOT CONSIDER PRECIPITATION WHICH HAS FALLEN
AFTER THE DATA CUT-OFF TIME.

THERE ARE FIVE LEVELS OF INTENSITY DEPICTED ON THE U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR. THE USDM LEVELS ARE THE FOLLOWING...
D0 - ABNORMALLY DRY /NOT IN DROUGHT BUT SHOWING DRYNESS/
D1 - MODERATE DROUGHT
D2 - SEVERE DROUGHT
D3 - EXTREME DROUGHT
D4 - EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT

THE LOCAL DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT IS ISSUED BY THE NWS
OFFICE IN TULSA WHEN NEEDED TO SUPPLEMENT THE NATIONAL USDM
PRODUCT. LOCAL STATEMENTS MAY BE ISSUED BI-WEEKLY DURING TIMES
WHEN THE USDM INDICATES SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OR AS LOCAL
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS...
THE OKLAHOMA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE /OKLAHOMA CLIMATOLOGICAL
SURVEY...OCS/ IS HOSTING RECORDED UPDATE FOCUSED ON THE CURRENT
CONDITIONS...IMPACTS...AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE ONGOING DROUGHT ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. UPDATED DROUGHT BRIEFINGS ARE AVAILABLE ABOUT
EVERY TWO WEEKS AT WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/USER/SCIPP01.

SOIL MOISTURE IMPACTS...
FOR 29 JUNE 2014...THE OKLAHOMA CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY /OCS/ DAILY
AVERAGED FRACTIONAL WATER INDEX SHOWS 2-INCH VALUES BETWEEN 0.4
TO 1.0...WITH THE DRIEST AREAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
TULSA...CREEK...AND NORTHERN OKMULGEE COUNTIES. THE 10-INCH VALUES
RANGE BETWEEN 0.7 TO 1.0...WHILE THE 24-INCH VALUES RANGE BETWEEN
0.8 TO 1.0 ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WITH AN AREA OF 0.3
TO 0.4 WITHIN SOUTHERN OSAGE...PAWNEE...AND NORTHERN CREEK
COUNTIES. 1.0 IS SATURATED AND 0.0 IS COMPLETELY DRY.

AS OF 28 JUNE 2014...THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
/ABRFC/ GRIDDED SOIL MOISTURE IN THE LOWER ZONE...LONG
TERM...INDICATES THAT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INCLUDING
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...CREEK...AS
WELL AS CHOCTAW IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ALL WERE MEASURING BETWEEN
30 TO 50 PERCENT OF THE NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE. A FEW ISOLATED AREAS
WITHIN OSAGE...PAWNEE...TULSA...AND CREEK COUNTIES WERE MEASURING
LESS THAN 30 PERCENT OF NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE.

AS OF 29 JUNE 2014...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ TOTAL SOIL
MOISTURE ANOMALY ANALYSIS SHOWED SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS THAT RANGED
FROM 20 TO 100 MILOMETERS BELOW NORMAL. THE MAJORITY OF THE 60 TO
100 MILOMETER DEFICIT AREA WAS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

FIRE IMPACTS...
NO BURN BANS WERE IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THERE HAVE BEEN NO RECENT REPORTS OF WILD FIRES.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

IN THE SHORT TERM...OVER THE PAST 7 DAYS...ENDING 29 JUNE
2014...BETWEEN A TENTH OF AN INCH TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAVE
FALLEN ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE HEAVIER
AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION OCCURRED OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHERE BETWEEN 1 TO 4 INCHES FELL. LESS
PRECIPITATION OCCURRED OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WITH AMOUNTS
RANGING FROM AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH...TO NEAR 2 INCHES.

FOR THE PAST 30 DAYS...ENDING 29 JUNE 2014...BETWEEN 2 AND 10
INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THE LIGHTER AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION EXTENDED FROM
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST INTO CHOCTAW COUNTY IN
OKLAHOMA. THIS RESULTED IN MUCH OF THIS AREA ONLY RECEIVING 50
PERCENT OF THEIR NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE PERIOD. THE HEAVIER
RAINFALL OCCURRED OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...WITHIN WASHINGTON...NOWATA...NORTHERN
ROGERS...CRAIG...OTTAWA...MAYES...DELAWARE COUNTIES IN
OKLAHOMA...AND ALSO BENTON AND CARROLL COUNTIES IN ARKANSAS. SOME
LOCATIONS IN THIS AREA RECEIVED AS MUCH AS 150 TO 200 PERCENT THE
NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THIS PERIOD.

IN THE LONGER TERM...SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE WATER YEAR /1
OCTOBER 2013 THROUGH 28 JUNE 2014/...RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE RANGED
FROM 10 INCHES TO AROUND 40 INCHES. THIS REPRESENTS 25 TO 110
PERCENT OF NORMAL FOR THIS TIME PERIOD FOR A MAJORITY OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONLY SMALL PORTIONS OF OKFUSKEE
AND CARROLL COUNTIES WERE ABOVE NORMAL.

ACCORDING TO OCS...FOR THE LAST 30 DAYS...ENDING 28 JUNE
2014...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA RANKS AS THE 25TH WETTEST PERIOD SINCE
RECORDS BEGAN IN 1921. EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA RANKS AS THE 32ND
WETTEST...AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA RANKS AS THE 41ST WETTEST. FOR
THE WATER YEAR TO DATE /1 OCTOBER 2013 - 28 JUNE 2014/...NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA RANKS AS THE 13TH DRIEST ON RECORD...EAST CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA RANKS AS THE 25TH DRIEST...AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA RANKS
AS THE 31ST DRIEST. FOR THE PAST YEAR /29 JUNE 2013 - 28 JUNE
2014/...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA RANKS AS THE 29TH DRIEST...EAST CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA RANKS AS THE 25TH DRIEST...AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA RANKS
AS THE 34TH DRIEST.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THERE ARE SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION TODAY...WITH ADDITIONAL
CHANGES FOR RAINFALL MID-WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK CALLS FOR
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WITH AN
ENHANCED CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER EXTREME
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THERE IS AN ENHANCED
CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHILE THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ ONE MONTH OUTLOOK INDICATES AN
ENHANCED CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS ALL OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...ALONG WITH AN ENHANCED
CHANCE FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FOR THIS PERIOD.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID 19
JUNE 2014 - 30 SEPTEMBER 2014 INDICATES THAT DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OR INTENSITY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...WHILE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OR
IMPROVE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

ACCORDING TO THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS /COE/...MOST OF THE
MAJOR RESERVOIRS IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WERE
REPORTING NORMAL POOL LEVELS WITHIN FLOOD CONTROL STORAGE. ONLY
ONE RESERVOIR REMAINED WITH CONSERVATION POOLS BELOW NORMAL AS OF
27 JUNE 2014...SKIATOOK LAKE AT 66 PERCENT.

ACCORDING TO THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY /USGS/...AS OF 29 JUNE
2014...MOST OF THE REPORTING STATES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WERE REPORTING NEAR NORMAL STREAM-FLOW LEVELS
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A FEW SITES WERE REPORTING BELOW NORMAL
STREAM-FLOW LEVELS...INCLUDING THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR CHOUTEAU AT
10 PERCENT...AS WELL AS THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR FORE...CANADIAN
RIVER NEAR WHITEFIELD...BLACK BEAR CREEK AT PAWNEE...AND THE RED
RIVER AT ARTHUR ALL REPORTING BELOW 10 PERCENT.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON 10 JULY 2014...OR SOONER IF
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS OCCUR.

RELATED WEBSITES...

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TSA/?N=DROUGHT_INFO
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA

ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/ABRFC/?N=DROUGHT

OKLAHOMA CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY DROUGHT TOOLS
HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV/INDEX.PHP/CLIMATE/CATEGORY/
DROUGHT_WILDFIRE

ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION
HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.STATE.AR.US

OKLAHOMA FORESTRY COMMISSION
HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV

U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS TULSA DISTRICT
HTTP://WWW.SWT-WC.USACE.ARMY.MIL

U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY REALTIME DATA
HTTP://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NWIS/RT

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A COLLABORATIVE EFFORT BETWEEN
SEVERAL GOVERNMENT AND ACADEMIC PARTNERS INCLUDING THE NWS...THE
NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL
CLIMATOLOGISTS...AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER.
INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA
OBSERVATION SITES...THE OKLAHOMA CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE
USACE AND THE USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA
10159 E. 11TH ST. SUITE 300
TULSA OKLAHOMA 74128
PHONE   918-838-7838
EMAIL   SR-TSA.WEBMASTER AT NOAA.GOV

$$

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