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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1137 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-301845-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...
MINERAL SPRINGS...DIERKS...ASHDOWN...HOPE...PRESCOTT...
TEXARKANA...STAMPS...LEWISVILLE...BRADLEY...MAGNOLIA...
EL DORADO...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MINDEN...SPRINGHILL...
HOMER...HAYNESVILLE...RUSTON...FARMERVILLE...BERNICE...
MANSFIELD...STONEWALL...LOGANSPORT...COUSHATTA...MARTIN...
ARCADIA...RINGGOLD...GIBSLAND...JONESBORO...MONROE...MANY...
ZWOLLE...PLEASANT HILL...NATCHITOCHES...WINNFIELD...COLFAX...
MONTGOMERY...DRY PRONG...CLARKS...GRAYSON...COLUMBIA...JENA...
MIDWAY...OLLA...IDABEL...BROKEN BOW...CLARKSVILLE...BOGATA...
MOUNT VERNON...MOUNT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...
LONE STAR...NAPLES...OMAHA...ATLANTA...LINDEN...HUGHES SPRINGS...
QUEEN CITY...MINEOLA...WINNSBORO...QUITMAN...HAWKINS...GILMER...
BIG SANDY...JEFFERSON...TYLER...LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...
JACKSONVILLE...RUSK...HENDERSON...CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...
CENTER...LUFKIN...SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL...PINELAND
1137 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING AT 15 KTS
TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE A TENTH...TO
QUARTER OF AN INCH WITH MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IN SOME AREAS POSING
A FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL FROM TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. WINDS MAY GUST
TO 30 OR 40 MPH WITH THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS. PLEASE REMEMBER
TO AVOID CROSSING FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

$$



Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1131 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

ARZ073-LAZ006-301715-
UNION AR-UNION LA-
1131 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR UNION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN UNION PARISHES UNTIL 1215 PM CDT...

AT 1131 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR JUNCTION CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EL DORADO...SMACKOVER...NORPHLET...HUTTIG...JUNCTION CITY...STRONG...
CALION...WESSON...LAWSON...URBANA...LAPILE...LISBON...MORO BAY STATE
PARK...FELSENTHAL...SPEARSVILLE...LILLIE...LOCKHART...AURELLE...
KENOVA AND TAYLORVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3288 9266 3337 9290 3339 9276 3336 9268
      3337 9255 3332 9252 3332 9246 3329 9247
      3327 9244 3328 9238 3330 9235 3326 9232
      3328 9230 3325 9223 3321 9223 3321 9218
      3316 9217 3316 9211 3309 9213 3302 9208
TIME...MOT...LOC 1631Z 239DEG 21KT 3301 9264

$$

VII



Flood Advisory

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1111 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

ARC027-139-LAC015-027-111-119-301815-
/O.NEW.KSHV.FA.Y.0036.150530T1611Z-150530T1815Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UNION AR-COLUMBIA AR-CLAIBORNE LA-BOSSIER LA-WEBSTER LA-UNION LA-
1111 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
  FOR...
  UNION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN COLUMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
  NORTHERN CLAIBORNE PARISH IN NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...
  EAST CENTRAL BOSSIER PARISH IN NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...
  NORTHWESTERN WEBSTER PARISH IN NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...
  NORTHWESTERN UNION PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 115 PM CDT

* AT 1109 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
  THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING.
  OVERFLOWING POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING IN
  THE ADVISORY AREA. SOILS REMAIN VERY SATURATED FROM RECENT
  RAINFALLS OF TWO TO OVER FOUR INCHES.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  EL DORADO...SPRINGHILL...HOMER...SMACKOVER...NORPHLET...HUTTIG...
  JUNCTION CITY...HAYNESVILLE...CULLEN...COTTON VALLEY...SAREPTA...
  STRONG...CALION...EMERSON...SHONGALOO...WESSON...URBANA...
  ATLANTA...LAPILE AND LAWSON.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH INCH IS EXPECTED OVER THE
AREA THROUGH THE NOON HOUR. THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN
URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL
ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED...OR
PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES.
IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3273 9346 3301 9345 3334 9301 3338 9272
      3336 9268 3337 9255 3332 9252 3332 9246
      3329 9247 3327 9244 3330 9235 3326 9232
      3328 9230 3325 9223 3321 9223 3321 9218
      3316 9217 3316 9211 3309 9213 3303 9208

$$

VII




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1002 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-311200-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
1002 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE THIS EVENING. ANY STORMS TODAY WILL
HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE STRONG AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...
LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS INTO EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY BUT ISOLATED ACTIVITY CANNOT BE RULED OUT
ANYWHERE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. A DRYING TREND SHOULD
COMMENCE ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION NEXT WEEK WITH ONLY VERY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND AMATEUR
RADIO OPERATORS...MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$

13



Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
840 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

ARC003-139-311340-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FELA4.1.ER.150312T1917Z.150331T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
840 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

The flood warning continues for
  the Ouachita River At Felsenthal, Arkansas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 700 AM Saturday the pool stage was 73.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 70 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 73.9 feet through Sunday
  morning.
* Impact...at 75.0 feet...Flooding in the Felsenthal National Wildlife
  Refuge will continue for at least another ten days.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 9210 3311 9217 3318 9212 3307 9211 3300 9205

$$





Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
807 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Ouachita River At Camden affecting Calhoun and Ouachita Counties

  Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D affecting Bradley...Calhoun and
  Union Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC011-013-139-310406-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALA4.1.ER.150511T0641Z.150606T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
807 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:00 AM Saturday the stage was 84.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 79.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 85.5 feet by
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 85.0 feet...There may be some County roads along the
  river flooded, requiring lengthy detours. River is high and swift,
  boaters should be very cautious. Access to many oil and gas rigs
  will be by boat only. Levee gates should be closed.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Ouachita River
  Thatcher L  79  84.8 Sat 06 AM   84.9   85.0   85.1   85.2   85.3


&&


LAT...LON 3311 9223 3323 9236 3329 9261 3338 9247
 3333 9226 3322 9212



$$




U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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