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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1127 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-220545-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1127 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

CORRECTED FOR TYPO IN LAST DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN PARAGRAPH.

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AS A STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO TAKE SHAPE TODAY WINDS WILL PICK UP
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. AROUND MIDDAY WINDS OVER THE OPEN WATERS
WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH 15 T0 20 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL GO INTO EFFECT AT NOON AND CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND FOR THE OPEN WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF STRONG AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE OUTLOOK AREA SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN THE RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER AND ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN
QUESTIONS RIGHT NOW ARE THE EXTENT...TIMING AND SEVERITY OF STRONG
AND SEVERE WEATHER.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THREAT HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BECOME AN
ISSUE TOO. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN COULD
DEVELOP WITH THE FIRST BATCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
WITH THE WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH. WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
WILL BE ARE ANTICIPATED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND 5
INCHES POSSIBLE . A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR SATURDAY
AND EARLY SUNDAY.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY
MORNING LEADING TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER ALL OF
THE WATERS...NOW INCLUDING THE SOUNDS AND TIDAL LAKES. THIS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY.

STRONG ONSHORE EASTERLY FLOW WILL PRODUCE HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TIDES AND A POTENTIAL COASTAL FLOOD THREAT FROM SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS TIME PERIOD FOR THE EAST FACING SHORES FROM
BAY ST LOUIS MISSISSIPPI TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE... THE RIGOLETS AND CHEF MENTEUR
PASS. TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WHICH MAY
RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF ACCESS AREAS NEAR THE COAST OUTSIDE
THE HURRICANE LEVEE PROTECTION SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
OZONE AMATUER RADIO CLUB...W5SLA...WILL BE ACTIVATED SATURDAY
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

24/RR









Coastal Flood Advisory

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
935 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

...A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR EAST-FACING SHORES...

.STRONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING
THE DAY SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN TIDE LEVELS THAT MAY RESULT IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST...PARTICULARLY AT THE
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE SATURDAY NIGHT.

LAZ062-064-069-070-MSZ080-212345-
/O.CON.KLIX.CF.Y.0004.141122T1800Z-141123T1200Z/
ORLEANS-UPPER ST. BERNARD-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-
HANCOCK-
935 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...ALONG EAST FACING SHORES FROM BAY OF ST
  LOUIS MISSISSIPPI TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
  INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE...THE RIGOLETS AND CHEF MENTEUR PASS.

* TIMING...DURING THE DAILY HIGH TIDE TO OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TIDES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WHICH MAY RESULT IN
  MINOR FLOODING OF ACCESS AREAS NEAR THE COAST OUTSIDE THE
  HURRICANE LEVEE PROTECTION SYSTEM.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

24/RR








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