One product issued by NWS for: Welty OK
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 448 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151030- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 448 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight. HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD. RISK...Limited. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. POOR VISIBILITY. RISK...Limited. AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...After Midnight. DISCUSSION... Isolated to scattered showers and storms are forecast for much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas into early evening. Then mainly over southeast and far eastern Oklahoma as well as western Arkansas tonight as an area of low pressure lifts over the region. Slow storm motions combined with abundant amounts of moisture will continue a heavy rain threat that could lead to flash flooding through tonight. A Flood Watch is in effect from southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas through Tuesday morning. Severe weather is not currently anticipated. Also overnight tonight into early Tuesday morning, there remains a potential for patchy fog development over far northeast Oklahoma into far northwest Arkansas. Conditions should improve by mid morning Tuesday. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. FRIDAY...No Hazards. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Storms will continue to focus across southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas Tuesday before dissipating Tuesday evening. A weak front will bring low chances for storms closer to the Kansas and Missouri borders Thursday. Storm chances will dwindle by the end of the week as ridging builds in aloft. As this occurs temperatures will climb, with afternoon heat indices 100 to 105 each day over the weekend and into next week. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$