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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
454 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
454 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING...ENDING BY AROUND SUNSET.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ALONG A BOUNDARY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EAST OF THE I-49 CORRIDOR. THE STORMS ARE
SLOW-MOVING AND HAVE HAD A TENANCY TO TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS.
AS A RESULT...POCKETS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE MINOR
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE. THESE STORMS MAY ALSO BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING AN ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUST AS WELL.

OTHER STORMS MAY MAKE THEIR WAY INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND/OR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING FROM THE NORTH. THESE STORMS WILL
POSE A LIMITED THREAT OF SEVERE WINDS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

MORE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED NEAR A BOUNDARY
ACROSS FAR NE OK AND NW AR ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A COMPLEX OF
STORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE WINDS WITH THESE STORMS.

MORE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL EXIST OVER THE REGION WITH A
BOUNDARY AND UPPER DISTURBANCE OVER THE WEEKEND. DANGEROUS HEAT
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY AWAY FROM ANY STORMS
OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTION OF NEXT WEEK...RISING MID LEVEL
HEIGHTS AND TEMPS WILL LIKELY BRING AN END TO THE DAILY
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...BUT THE DANGEROUS HEAT WILL RETURN AS WELL.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY



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