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2 products issued by NWS for: Poteau OK
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
458 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

...DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING LIKELY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...LATE THIS EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...LATE THIS EVENING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
    ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING
MAINLY ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE SEVERE...THOUGH LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THESE STORMS DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING.

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WITH AN ELEVATED THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN
AND FLASH FLOODING WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO THE AREA OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 LATE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TONIGHT
THROUGH 7 PM WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. WHILE HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD
THROUGH TONIGHT...A FEW CELLS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH
THIS EVENING. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

IN ADDITION TO THE THUNDERSTORM AND FLASH FLOODING THREATS...
HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN AROUND 100 DEGREES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL
WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TUESDAY
MORNING...AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND
OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
THAT WILL AFFECT SOME OF THE SAME AREAS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH
LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. LESSER
AMOUNTS...1 TO 3 INCHES...ARE PROJECTED FOR EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND LESS THAN AN INCH FOR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH AND THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL RETURN
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
851 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-070300-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
851 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.NOW...
AT 8:51 PM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 20 MPH.

THROUGH 10 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
SOUTHEAST...INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
LOCATIONS MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF A DRUMRIGHT TO HOLLOW
LINE ARE LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED DURING THIS TIME. MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS
LINE OF STORMS...WHERE HOURLY RAINFALL RATES MAY EXCEED ONE INCH
AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. SOME LOCALIZED
FLOODING ISSUES MAY ARISE DUE TO THE RELATIVELY SLOW MOVEMENT AND
INTENSE RAINFALL.

$$



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