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2 products issued by NWS for: Poteau OK
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015



THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...TODAY.


HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...TODAY.


DISCUSSION...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE
FROM WEST TO EAST INTO THE AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL OF THE REGION.
COVERAGE MAY DIMINISH SOME ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AGAIN MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE
UPPER SYSTEM BEGINS TO MOVE FASTER TO THE EAST NORTHEAST.
THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION...ALONG WITH A LIMITED RISK FOR
SEVERE HAIL.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY AS THE UPPER
SYSTEM DEPARTS THE REGION. A LIMITED RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL
EXIST WITH ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN BY TUESDAY...AND CONTINUE FOR THE
REST OF THE WORK WEEK AS A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES TRAVERSE
THE AREA.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1111 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181715-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1111 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

.NOW...
AT 11 AM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND LIGHT RAIN
ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND ALSO PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM POTEAU TO TAHLEQUAH TO
SOUTH COFFEYVILLE. THE PRECIPITATION WAS SLOWLY DIMINISHING FROM
THE WEST...AND WAS MOVING TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.
RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN A TENTH AND QUARTER INCH PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

RAIN WAS INCREASING OVER SEBASTIAN...CRAWFORD...WASHINGTON AND
FRANKLIN COUNTIES...AND IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD TO THE NORTHEAST.

ANOTHER SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...WAS DEVELOPING WEST OF BRISTOW AND SOUTH OF
STILLWATER. THIS PRECIPITATION WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.

THROUGH 1 PM...THE PRECIPITATION OVER FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE NORTH
AND EAST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE AREA OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
FARTHER INTO CREEK AND PAWNEE COUNTIES THROUGH 1 PM.

$$








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