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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
503 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT INCREASES THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...VERY LIMITED.
        AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.
        ONSET...AFTER 6 PM...DIMINISHING AFTER 9 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...MAINLY NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY THIS
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NEAR
THE INTERSECTION OF A COLD FRONT AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING WILL HAVE A VERY
LIMITED TORNADO THREAT...ALTHOUGH STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP INTO CLUSTERS AND MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING PARTS OF NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS LIKELY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT ALONG WITH VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...AND WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.  TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID TO LATE WEEK...BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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