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4 products issued by NWS for: Poteau OK
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Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
853 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County.

OKC079-232253-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180226T1724Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.180221T1710Z.180225T1800Z.180226T1124Z.NO/
853 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The Flood Warning continues for
 The Poteau River near Panama
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Friday, the stage was 30.28 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will fall below flood stage
  late this afternoon and continue falling to near 28.3 feet late
  tonight. The river will then begin to rise again and continue rising
  to near 34.9 feet early Sunday afternoon. The river will fall below
  flood stage early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the
  floodplain become impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$





Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
723 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231500-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
723 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

.NOW...

At 7:23 PM...National Weather Service doppler radars continued to
detect scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting
much of southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas, mainly along and
southeast of a line from Eubanks to Ozark. Rainfall in this area
had ranged from trace amounts to near a tenth of an inch per hour.
All this activity was moving toward the northeast, around 35
miles per hour.

Through 9:00 AM...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
will continue to track northeast across southeast Oklahoma and
into western Arkansas. Light to moderate rainfall can be expected
from this activity, with amounts reaching as high as a tenth of
an inch per hour. The precipitation is expected to spread
northward, and increase in coverage and intensity throughout the
day.

$$

16




Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
502 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL TODAY THROUGH
SATURDAY...


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After midnight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Morning.



DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorms will move back north into southeast
Oklahoma and west central Arkansas this morning, and this
activity will increase in areal coverage across the rest of the
area during the afternoon. Additional heavy rainfall is likely at
times today, especially southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas where a flood watch remains in effect through Saturday
afternoon.

Another round of showers and storms will develop late tonight in
association with the main upper system. One or two strong to
severe storms will be possible after midnight across far southeast
Oklahoma, and will be capable of producing large hail.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY through TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Greater chances for storms and additional heavy rainfall potential
will be during the day Saturday as the main upper system and cold
front move through the area. This will result in a slight
increase in severe potential, mainly for southeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas where large hail will be the primary threat.
Rain and storms are expected to be east of the area by late
Saturday afternoon.

Settled conditions are expected for the remainder of the weekend
and into next week along with mild temperatures. Shower and
thunderstorm chances will increase some towards midweek as another
system approaches the plains.


weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
423 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...Additional Heavy Rainfall Potential today through Saturday...

.Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall will be possible across parts
of Southeast Oklahoma into Northwest Arkansas today through
Saturday before a cold front pushes through the region Saturday
afternoon and evening.

ARZ020-029-OKZ049-053-075-076-232230-
/O.CON.KTSA.FA.A.0002.180223T1200Z-180225T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin-Sebastian-Pushmataha-Choctaw-Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers,
Clayton, Hugo, Wilburton, and Poteau
423 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of west central Arkansas and southeast Oklahoma...
  including the following counties...in west central Arkansas...
  Franklin and Sebastian. in southeast Oklahoma...Choctaw...
  Latimer...Le Flore and Pushmataha.

* Through Saturday afternoon

* Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches will be common across the
  watch area, with locally higher amounts possible.

* This will likely lead to flooding of some low lying areas.
  Additional rainfall on top of recent rains will increase the
  potential for flash flooding and also some river flooding
  concerns.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. Drainage ditches, creeks and other low lying
areas are prone to rises and may flood. Most flood related deaths
occur in automobiles and flooding is the leading cause of weather
related deaths.

&&

$$




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Silver Spring, MD 20910
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