Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --929 FXUS64 KEPZ 170530 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1130 PM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 104 PM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024 Hot and dry conditions will continue through Wednesday for most of the area. Cooler and wetter conditions will start to move into the area Thursday though the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 104 PM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024 The upper level ridge building into the area will create very hot conditions over the area. El Paso is currently 4-5 degrees higher then yesterday already so the 75th percentile from NBM was utilized and has a high of 108F. Temperatures will push the local records today with El Paso`s record for the 16th of 108F in 1980. && .AVIATION...-- Changed Discussion --(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 PM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024 VFR conditions through the period with SKC. Surface winds west/northwest AOB 8 knots, increasing after 18Z to west/southwest 13-18G25 knots.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 104 PM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024 Extremely dry conditions will be observed over the area through Tuesday with single digit RH values throughout much of the region. Winds will remain relatively light with sustained 20ft winds below 20mph, but some gusts could get near 20mph in the afternoons. Wednesday a surge of moisture pushes into the area and increases RH over 20-30 percent for most of the region. Winds will increase with this moisture surge with 30-40mph gusts possible over the Gila Forest Thursday. Rain chances steadily increase after Friday into the weekend where most the area will likely see some light precipitation and a few areas may see moderate rainfall by Sunday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 76 106 76 102 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 68 101 68 97 / 0 0 10 0 Las Cruces 69 103 68 99 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 67 102 66 98 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 54 79 52 75 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 69 101 66 97 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 62 91 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 64 102 62 98 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 65 99 63 96 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 73 102 72 98 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 65 104 65 99 / 0 0 10 0 Fort Hancock 68 107 67 103 / 0 0 10 0 Loma Linda 67 96 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 70 105 70 101 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 68 101 67 98 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 75 101 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 65 101 63 98 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 64 102 64 99 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 70 102 68 98 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 68 101 66 97 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 57 92 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 57 89 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 55 88 53 85 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 56 91 51 89 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 65 97 63 94 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 62 99 58 97 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 58 91 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 60 95 58 93 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 58 100 55 97 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 63 93 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 63 94 60 92 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 64 99 61 97 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 64 99 62 97 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 65 98 61 96 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 63 92 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory until 6 AM MDT Tuesday for TXZ418-419-423-424. NM...Heat Advisory until 6 AM MDT Monday for NMZ411. && $$ FORECASTER...30-Dennhardt