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369
FXUS62 KGSP 111724
AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
124 PM EDT Fri Jul 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
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Active summertime weather will continue thru the weekend with
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day. High
temperatures will increase each day through Monday, trending back to
around normal for the middle of next week behind a weak cold front.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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As of 130 PM EDT Friday: Mountain deep convection has been
struggling to strengthen early this afternoon, perhaps thanks to the
drying as per the wv loops or the developing weak upper anticyclonic
flow.  Nonetheless, the sensible wx into the early evening will
feature scattered, mainly garden variety storms developing into the
Piedmont.  Fair weather is on tap for later tonight as a weak
westerly flow and drier blyr is progged, limiting shallow fog
potential to the mtn valleys and locales who receive rainfall today.
Upper ridge axis will continue to poke north into the region through
Saturday.  Expect another afternoon of typical scattered, diurnally
fired, deep convective chances regionwide.  Coincident with rising
mid/upper level heights, afternoon maximums are progged to reach
a category above persistence.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
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As of 1200 PM Friday: Mid level heights will rise slightly during
the Saturday night through Monday timeframe. This will lead to high
temperatures climbing back into the middle 90s Sunday and Monday
outside the mountains, with highs near 90 in the mountain valleys.
Heat indices will also be climbing with some Piedmont locations
getting into the lower 100s each day. Right now, we do not
anticipate that a heat advisory will be needed in our area.

An active convective pattern will continue during this period with
mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms each day,
with the highest chance in the mountains.
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&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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As of 1210 PM Fri: A weakening cold front will push into the area on
Tuesday. This will act to lower high temperatures just a couple
degrees for the Tuesday through Thursday timeframe, but they will
still be near normal to slightly above normal. The dissipating front
will help to keep the chance of showers and thunderstorms above
climo each day.
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&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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At KCLT and elsewhere: Typical summertime, scattered, disorganized
diurnally fired deep convection will continue to develop in the high
terrain and expand into the Piedmont as the afternoon wears on. The
potential cvrg is of high enough probability to maintain
mention of mainly garden variety tstm threat all terminal
locations this afternoon. After storms ash out this evening,
unlike the past two nights, with a drier and weak westerly blyr
flow, low cloud development probability is low and vsby
restrictions should be limited to where it rains today and the
usual mountain valleys. A pretty similar weather day is expected
for Saturday.

Outlook: Typical summertime weather is expected into early next
week, with scattered to numerous thunderstorms mainly in the
afternoon/evening and fog and/or low stratus possible each morning.
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&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...SCW
NEAR TERM...CSH
SHORT TERM...SCW
LONG TERM...SCW
AVIATION...CSH