Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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897 FXUS64 KSHV 230701 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 201 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM...
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(Sunday through Monday) Issued at 133 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 After some internal discussion, and some discussion with our surrounding offices, we just decided to go ahead and issue the Heat Advisory beginning today. While not all locations in the Heat Advisory will feel above 105 degrees today, a good portion of the region will, and almost of it will by Monday. This Heat Advisory is in effect through at least Tuesday, with extensions the next few days likely. Aside from the heat, a stray thunderstorm may be possible in our north zones today, as the flow aloft get pushed into a pseudo NW pattern, but widespread rainfall is not anticipated. /44/
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&& .LONG TERM...
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(Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 133 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 If I`m being entirely honest, I probably could have issued this Heat Advisory for the entire week and it would verify. Afternoon highs will hover in the upper-90s and low-100s well into next weekend, with heat index values over 105 degrees during this timeframe as well. Rain chances still appear to increase by Wednesday as a trough and cold front begin to move through the Midwest. Unfortunately, the low pressure appears to be forming farther to east, taking the best rain chances east with it. In turn, widespread rainfall with this midweek system doesn`t appear likely. Rain chances will linger in our southern zones for the remainder of the week, as surface flow turns to the south. This will allow for the typical diurnal convection that are all to used to seeing around this time of the year. /44/
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&& .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 For the 23/06z TAFS...VFR conditions will prevail during the period with periods of few to scattered mid to high clouds streaming over the area, along with some afternoon CU. An isolated shower or thunderstorm will be possible in our extreme northern zones, which could move into the airspace at KTXK during the last of the TAF period. Also, can`t rule out a stray shower or two during the afternoon and early evening hours across the remainder of the TAFS. However, confidence isn`t high enough to include precip in any of the TAFS at this time. Otherwise, expect light/variable winds overnight to become WSW around 5 kts this afternoon, before becoming light/variable again after sunset tomorrow. /20/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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SHV 99 80 99 80 / 10 10 10 0 MLU 98 78 97 77 / 10 10 10 0 DEQ 96 74 98 74 / 20 20 0 0 TXK 99 78 100 79 / 10 10 0 0 ELD 97 76 98 76 / 10 10 10 0 TYR 96 77 97 78 / 10 10 0 0 GGG 96 76 98 77 / 10 10 10 0 LFK 97 76 98 75 / 10 10 10 0
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&& .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073. LA...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022. OK...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for OKZ077. TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...20