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507
FXUS64 KSHV 221951
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
251 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
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(This evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 248 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

The hottest temperatures of the year begin now and continue
through the weekend across the Four State Region. Surface ridging
currently over the Mississippi River Valley will continue to
gradually shift westward into the Southern Great Plains and
nearly directly overhead by tomorrow afternoon, boosting
temperature maximums/minimums into the upper 90s (lower 100s)/mid-
to-upper 70s. Light southerly winds and dew points in the upper
60s/lower 70s will maintain muggy outdoor conditions. /16/
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&&

.LONG TERM...
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(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Dangerous heat will continue through most if not all of next week
across the Four State Region, with some potential for only a
slight reprieve from precipitation. This is due to broad surface
ridging that will slowly drift westward into Texas over the week,
limiting wind speeds to below 10 mph. The wind that does remain
will retain a southerly direction, boosting dew points into the
low-to-mid 70s through the week. That alone will set the stage for
dangerous heat, especially given the cumulative nature of heat
stress and higher temperatures overnight allowing less relief.
Temperature maximums will reach the upper 90s/lower 100s (with
heat indices in the 105-110 range), while temperature minimums
will only fall into the upper 70s/lower 80s.

Heat hazard products are almost fully certain to be issued through
most of next week. Adequate precautions and awareness are
encouraged now against the elevated potential for heat illnesses.
Through all of next week, this includes (and is not limited to)
altering outdoor plans, taking frequent breaks if you must be
outside, checking the backseat of your vehicle, and knowing the
signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. /16/
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&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Surface and upper-level ridge of high pressure to maintain dry
conditions through the TAF period ending 23/18Z. Southwest winds 5
to 10 knots across most locations expected today, becoming light
and variable overnight. Winds forecast to increase to 5 to 10
knots again on Sunday. Otherwise, VFR skies to prevail with few to
scattered clouds possible. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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SHV  79  99  80 100 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  76  97  78  98 /   0   0   0  10
DEQ  72  97  74  97 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  76  99  78 100 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  74  97  76  98 /   0   0   0  10
TYR  76  97  76  98 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  76  97  76  97 /   0   0   0  10
LFK  73  97  75  98 /   0  10   0  10
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&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...05