-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
745
FXUS64 KSJT 191834
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
134 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
-- Changed Discussion --
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 132 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Above-normal temperatures and very moist conditions are present this
afternoon. South/southeast winds are bringing Gulf moisture into the
area, putting dewpoints into the 60s to low 70s. This moisture
combined with the warm temperatures, are putting heat index values
above 100 degrees in some areas. These very high dewpoints will also
keep overnight temperatures high, with forecast lows near record
warm lows for both San Angelo (forecast:73 Record:76) and Abilene
(forecast:75 Record:75). Tomorrow`s weather will be very similar to
today, with warm and muggy conditions in the afternoon.
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&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 212 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Expect hot and mainly dry conditions through Saturday as a strong
upper level ridge centers over the Southern Plains. Temperatures
will be above normal with highs in the 90s. Will see a change in the
pattern as the ridge breaks down with weak cyclonic flow setting
up over our area and a cold front moving into the area by Sunday
night. The global models indicating a stronger upper level trough
middle of next week. However, The ensembles are weaker with this
system and still have time to watch. This all means increasing
upper level support, some instability and abundant moisture
leading to the NBM giving low to medium chances of showers and
thunderstorms early to middle of next week. Also, cooler
temperatures from Sunday onward with highs in the 80s to lower 90s
Sunday and mainly 80s next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1115 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

MVFR conditions are lifting and clearing out of the area. Skies
should be mostly clear for the rest of the day, with occasional
wind gusts around 20 to 25 mph through the afternoon. Low clouds
are expected to return early tomorrow morning, potentially
bringing MVFR conditions to our 4 southern terminals and possibly
IFR conditions to KSOA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Abilene     73  97  72  94 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  72  98  72  95 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    71  95  70  93 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   72  97  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  74  97  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       72  93  72  91 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       71  95  70  92 /   0   0   0   0
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&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...AP