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024
FXUS64 KSJT 211859
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
159 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
-- Changed Discussion --
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 159 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

As of this afternoon, skies were partly cloudy with temperatures
hovering around 90 and winds from the south at 10 to 15 MPH.  Unlike
the past few days an upper level ridge, currently located over the
Tennessee Valley, has started to build in across central Texas. This
feature should help to suppress most chances for rain today and
tomorrow and allow warmer temperatures to occur. Another round of
nocturnal stratus is expected to develop and build in late tonight
across the Edwards Plateau and northwest Hill Country areas.  This
cloud cover should burn off by late morning.  Other than a few
showers along and south of the I-10 corridor this afternoon,
precipitation is not expected through tomorrow evening.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

This weekend will be dry for our area with temperatures trending
hotter. This to occur as an upper level ridge shifts from the lower
Mississippi Valley west across Texas. Should have some low cloud
development over our southern and southeastern counties early
Saturday and Sunday mornings, but otherwise skies will be mostly
sunny. Expect highs Saturday to range from the lower 90s in the
Heartland and our southern counties, to mid/upper 90s farther
north and west in the Big Country and Concho Valley. Highs Sunday
will range from the mid 90s in our southern counties/Heartland to
the upper 90s/around 100 in the Big Country and Concho Valley.

The upper ridge will continue to shift west, and will be centered
over Arizona/New Mexico Tuesday through Thursday. This will be our
dominant weather influence. With this setup, a strong 850 mb thermal
ridge to our west will expand east and result in highs ranging from
95-100 degrees in our southern/southeastern counties, to 100-105 in
much of the Big Country and Concho Valley. Expect overnight lows to
be mostly in the mid to upper 70s Tuesday through Thursday.

With our area progged to be on the eastern side of the
aforementioned ridge aloft next week, medium range models show some
indication for the trailing portion of a cold front to move south
into our area Wednesday or Wednesday night before washing out.
Depending on the strength and proximity of the ridge, the Big
Country may have a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms with
the weak front.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR conditions expected with winds over 10KT this evening. Late
tonight, MVFR to IFR ceilings should develop for southern
terminals and continue through the morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     72  94  73  97 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  70  96  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    70  91  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   71  92  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  72  95  72  98 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       70  90  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       70  90  70  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...SK