Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
848
FNAK51 PAFC 161244
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
444 AM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
The atmosphere remains very unstable over most of Southcentral
again today, however this instability is edging westward each
day. That is leaving the Copper River Basin less likely to see
thunderstorms with the greatest chance over the Susitna Valley
to the Hatcher Pass area this afternoon and evening. Isolated
thunderstorms are expected for the Kenai Peninsula and Chugach
mountains near Anchorage. By tomorrow, the thunderstorm threat
will mainly just be in the Mat-Sun Valleys and Kenai Mountains.
Temperatures will remain a little above normal, but no strong
winds are anticipated the next few days except near thunderstorms.
All thunderstorms are expected to be wet thunderstorms.
AKZ101-170315-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
444 AM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (-3) 50 (0) 66
RH % (24H TREND) 35-43 (-2) 77 (-5) 42-57
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 1-5 W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3702 3724
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 SW 9
CWR 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22455 31635
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (-4) 53 (-1) 71
RH % (24H TREND) 41-49 (+9) 86 (0) 49-56
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-5 SW 2-7 W 5-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3407 3124
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 SW 7
CWR 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18449 21868
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-170315-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
444 AM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (-2) 49 (0) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 33-43 (+3) 70-77 (-2) 46-55
20FTWND(MPH) SW 2-5 SW 2-6 W 4-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4026 3878
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 6 SW 8
CWR 10 20 10
LAL 3 3 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25755 38010
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (-4) 52 (-1) 73
RH % (24H TREND) 39-49 (+11) 83 (+1) 45-52
20FTWND(MPH) SW 2-6 SW 3-8 SW 4-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4561 4193
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 SW 8
CWR 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 26881 39776
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-170315-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
444 AM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 70-77 (-3) 50 (-2) 67-73
RH % (24H TREND) 35-42 (+6) 75-85 (+3) 40-47
20FTWND(MPH) W 3-5 W 3-7 W 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4786 5326
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 6 W 8
CWR 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28406 40720
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64-70 (-7) 49 (-3) 61-67
RH % (24H TREND) 48-59 (+15) 80-87 (+3) 51-60
20FTWND(MPH) W 5-10 SW 6-12 SW 6-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3556 3151
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 8 SW 12
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20796 28360
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-170315-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
444 AM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-73 (0) 48 (+1) 57-70
RH % (24H TREND) 35-48 (-2) 73-84 (-3) 38-53
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4444 5026
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 6 S 8
CWR 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24332 40208
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-65 (+3) 50 (+1) 55-62
RH % (24H TREND) 47-70 (+2) 81-94 (0) 51-76
20FTWND(MPH) SW 2-6 SW 1-5 S 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1702 2968
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 5 S 7
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 11833 23744
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-170315-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
444 AM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 53-71 (+2) 39-46 (+1) 52-69
RH % (24H TREND) 21-38 (-8) 53-67 (-6) 31-45
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR W 3-6 SW 3-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8047 8419
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 6 SW 9
CWR 0 0 20
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 40688 83388
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (+2) 51 (+2) 78
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-1) 62-71 (-1) 33
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 3-5 SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8750 9860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)E 3 SW 8
CWR 0 0 10
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36337 84720
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-170315-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
444 AM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 67-73 (-1) 50 (0) 64-70
RH % (24H TREND) 26-42 (+5) 76 (+1) 36-49
20FTWND(MPH) SW 2-5 W 4-7 SW 5-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6703 6610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 5 SW 9
CWR 20 20 20
LAL 3 3 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39107 63948
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (-3) 52 (-2) 75
RH % (24H TREND) 34-42 (+14) 84 (+1) 39-46
20FTWND(MPH) S 3-6 S 5-8 S 4-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6886 6348
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 5 S 9
CWR 10 20 10
LAL 2 3 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34557 52316
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$