Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
996
FNAK51 PAFC 200027
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
427 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.DISCUSSION...
The best convective potential will be confined to the far
northern and western periphery of the Copper River Basin, where
isolated wet thunderstorms are possible both this afternoon and
evening as well as Thursday afternoon. Closer to the coast, areas
across Cook Inlet and Prince William Sound will be a bit more
stable due to the influence of a marine airmass over the northern
Gulf. This airmass will continue to move over the southern half of
Southcentral through Thursday as a front moves from Kodiak Island
northward. Southerly gap winds are likely by this afternoon. With
temperatures in the lower to mid 70s for the Copper River Basin,
any winds will act to lower min RH values to around 25% across the
base of the valley. Min RH values should rebound, however, as
winds diminish overnight before increasing again Thursday
afternoon. The Copper River Basin should see higher min RH values
for Thursday due to increased cloud cover and slightly cooler
temperatures.
AKZ101-201700-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
427 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (+5) 58-65 (0) 44 58-68
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-13) 48-58 (+2) 74-81 40-61
20FTWND(MPH) SW 2-7 S 2-7 SE 1-14 NW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3483 4148
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 10 N 8
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32715 29036
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (+6) 68 (0) 49 71
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-9) 45-52 (+2) 81 45-51
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-11 W 2-6 W 0-10 W 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3524 4172
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 NW 7
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28108 29204
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-201700-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
427 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+4) 57-63 (-1) 44 58-65
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (-10) 49-64 (+7) 74-80 46-62
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-8 SW 3-7 SW 2-8 NW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3894 4698
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 N 8
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25881 35199
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (+6) 69 (-1) 49 72
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-10) 46-52 (+5) 80 49
20FTWND(MPH) SW 4-10 SW 3-8 SW 3-10 W 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4311 5356
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 NW 7
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36201 45650
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-201700-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
427 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+5) 58-67 (-2) 46 62-72
RH % (24H TREND) 84-92 (0) 41-54 (+5) 79-88 38-52
20FTWND(MPH) W 3-7 N 2-8 E 3-10 NW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4537 5303
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 10 N 9
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 48883 47727
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (+1) 57-63 (0) 47 61-68
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (0) 50-68 (+4) 83-89 46-59
20FTWND(MPH) SW 6-12 W 5-10 W 1-7 W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3706 4179
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 6 NW 8
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28235 32616
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-201700-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
427 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (+1) 50-62 (-3) 44 56-69
RH % (24H TREND) 82-89 (-3) 44-63 (+8) 78-87 40-56
20FTWND(MPH) SE 3-9 E 4-12 E 7-15 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3119 5085
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 12 N 8
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39512 40680
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 70 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 40-46 (0) 48-56 (-1) 40-47 53-63
RH % (24H TREND) 88-95 (+2) 63-82 (+8) 82-93 51-76
20FTWND(MPH) SE 2-7 E 2-8 NE 2-13 N 0-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1795 3542
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 8 N 7
CWR 0 30 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18848 28035
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-201700-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
427 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 60 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 35-43 (-1) 46-66 (-1) 34-43 47-66
RH % (24H TREND) 70-81 (+5) 33-57 (+8) 75-83 40-66
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-9 S 3-8 SW 2-9 N 1-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6666 6794
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 NE 9
CWR 10 10 10 20
LAL 2 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55819 87752
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (0) 72 (-2) 46 74
RH % (24H TREND) 68-75 (+2) 30 (+4) 70-76 37
20FTWND(MPH) S 5-11 S 3-10 S 3-11 N 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7111 7745
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 NE 10
CWR 0 10 10 0
LAL 1 2 2 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58810 96264
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-201700-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
427 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 50 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (+4) 62-69 (+1) 46 61-69
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-7) 41-55 (+15) 83 42-56
20FTWND(MPH) SW 4-10 SW 4-12 SW 5-12 NW 1-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5819 5884
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 N 8
CWR 10 10 10 20
LAL 2 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 41920 52155
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+5) 72 (0) 49 74
RH % (24H TREND) 76-84 (-6) 39-46 (+10) 83 38-44
20FTWND(MPH) S 6-9 S 5-10 S 4-8 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5639 6875
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 N 7
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 44032 48125
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$