Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
897 FNAK51 PAFC 191232 FWFAER FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .DISCUSSION... The best convective potential will be confined to the far northern and western periphery of the Copper River Basin, where isolated wet thunderstorms are possible both this afternoon and evening as well as Thursday afternoon. Closer to the coast, areas across Cook Inlet and Prince William Sound will be a bit more stable due to the influence of a marine airmass over the northern Gulf. This airmass will continue to move over the southern half of Southcentral through Thursday as a front moves from Kodiak Island northward. Southerly gap winds are likely by this afternoon. With temperatures in the lower to mid 70s for the Copper River Basin, any winds will act to lower min RH values to around 25% across the base of the valley. Min RH values should rebound, however, as winds diminish overnight before increasing again Thursday afternoon. The Copper River Basin should see higher min RH values for Thursday due to increased cloud cover and slightly cooler temperatures. AKZ101-200245- ANCHORAGE- INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA 432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .ABOVE 1500 FT... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (0) 44 (+2) 65 RH % (24H TREND) 47-56 (-6) 89 (-6) 48-58 20FTWND(MPH) W 3-6 SW 2-7 S 2-7 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3506 4609 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 7 SE 10 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22108 50713 REMARKS...NONE. .BELOW 1500 FT... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+4) 47 (+3) 68 RH % (24H TREND) 42-51 (-2) 89 (-1) 45-52 20FTWND(MPH) W 4-8 SW 3-11 W 2-6 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3602 3590 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 SE 7 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20548 30393 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ AKZ111-200245- MATANUSKA VALLEY- INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON 432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .ABOVE 1500 FT... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 57-64 (-1) 44 (+3) 64 RH % (24H TREND) 44-55 (-10) 79-86 (-2) 49-64 20FTWND(MPH) W 3-7 W 1-8 SW 3-7 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4284 4231 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 S 8 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24619 42310 REMARKS...NONE. .BELOW 1500 FT... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (+3) 46 (+1) 69 RH % (24H TREND) 39-47 (-5) 84-90 (0) 46-52 20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-8 SW 4-10 SW 3-7 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4670 4244 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 S 7 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 26182 38532 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ AKZ121-200245- WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA- INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING 432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .INLAND AREAS... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE SHWRS NONE SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 30 TEMP (24H TREND) 60-70 (-1) 44 (+2) 60-66 RH % (24H TREND) 38-48 (+5) 93 (0) 41-54 20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-7 W 3-7 N 2-8 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5239 5402 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 7 E 10 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30170 67132 REMARKS...NONE. .COASTAL AREAS... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30 TEMP (24H TREND) 57-64 (+3) 45 (+1) 57-63 RH % (24H TREND) 48-64 (+3) 89-95 (0) 50-68 20FTWND(MPH) W 5-10 SW 6-12 W 5-10 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4104 3299 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 6 E 7 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22634 29691 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ AKZ125-200245- WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS 432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .INLAND AREAS... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 52-65 (+1) 43 (+2) 51-63 RH % (24H TREND) 38-54 (0) 86-92 (0) 44-63 20FTWND(MPH) SE 2-8 SE 3-9 E 4-12 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3987 3775 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 8 E 13 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28938 46228 REMARKS...NONE. .COASTAL AREAS... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 70 TEMP (24H TREND) 49-58 (0) 46 (+2) 48-56 RH % (24H TREND) 56-73 (+2) 89-95 (+3) 63-82 20FTWND(MPH) SE 1-6 SE 2-7 E 2-8 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2158 2259 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 6 E 9 CWR 0 0 30 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16197 29367 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ AKZ141-200245- COPPER RIVER BASIN- INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA 432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .ABOVE 2500 FT... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 40 60 TEMP (24H TREND) 47-66 (-4) 36-43 (+1) 48-66 RH % (24H TREND) 27-49 (+4) 72-84 (+11) 33-57 20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-9 SW 3-9 S 3-8 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6395 7805 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 7 S 9 CWR 20 10 20 LAL 2 2 2 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 46845 89648 REMARKS...Best chance for isolated wet thunderstorms will be over the far northern and western reaches of the Copper River Basin. .BELOW 2500 FT... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-3) 44 (0) 70 RH % (24H TREND) 20-26 (+2) 69-79 (+12) 30 20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-10 S 5-11 S 3-10 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7556 8756 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 7 S 9 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51285 87090 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ AKZ145-200245- SUSITNA VALLEY- INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW 432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .ABOVE 1500 FT... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 60 TEMP (24H TREND) 60-67 (0) 46 (+3) 63-69 RH % (24H TREND) 25-40 (-8) 72-78 (+1) 41-55 20FTWND(MPH) SW 5-9 SW 4-10 SW 4-12 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5516 7809 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 6 S 8 CWR 10 10 10 LAL 2 2 2 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 37486 54663 REMARKS...Any isolated wet thunderstorms will be over the far northern portions of the Talkeetna Mountains. .BELOW 1500 FT... TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+2) 46 (+2) 72 RH % (24H TREND) 28-36 (-3) 76-86 (+9) 39-46 20FTWND(MPH) S 3-8 S 6-9 S 5-10 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5607 5817 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 5 S 7 CWR 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28633 44604 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$