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FNAK79 PAFG 180124 CCA
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
524 PM AKDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM AKDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions continue through much of the upcoming week,
accompanied by westerly winds less than 15 mph, as ridging aloft
persists across the fire. Overnight RH recovery will be good, but
minimum RH values will drop into the upper 20s to lower 30s during
the afternoons. Thunderstorm potential increases Tuesday
afternoon, with scattered wet thunderstorms possible. Some of
these storms may produce heavy rain, hail, frequent lightning, and
strong, gusty and erratic winds.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered rain
                    showers through the day. Scattered
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 13 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80. East winds
around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BILLINGS
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.2/AFG
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0