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FNAK79 PAFG 231242
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
442 AM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A thermal trough will remain south of the fire today then move
over the fire tonight. Expect hot and dry conditions today with
high temperatures in the low 80s and min RHs around 25%, though
light winds from the northeast. Tonight, RHs recover nicely then
drop down to near 28% on Monday with high temperatures in the low
80s once again. Isolated thunderstorms are possible today, though
most of the activity will remain north and west of the fire. There is
a slightly greater risk for a storm on Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...7 AM AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds become north at 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 PM AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......North winds shift southwest in the morning at
                    6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BIANCO
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.13/AFG
.DELDT 06/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0