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FNAK79 PAFG 270051
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Spot Forecast for 223 Little Black...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
451 PM AKDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM AKDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms expected around the fire
with a chance to persist into Thursday morning. Good overnight RH
recovery expected with minimum temperatures in the low 60s.

Thursday will develop isolated showers and thunderstorms early,
increasing in coverage by the afternoon. Chance of wetting rain
during the evening. Some storms may produce numerous lightning
strikes and strong gusty winds. Thunderstorms expected to diminish
after midnight. Good overnight RH recovery expected.

Chance of thunderstorms expected to decrease as we move into
early parts of the weekend, along with slightly cooler
temperatures in the mid to low 70s and minimum RH values in the
mid to upper 30s.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of smoke
 through the night. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms throughout the night.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the late
evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM AKDT.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning, increasing in
coverage by the afternoon.
CWR.................15 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
 winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds 8 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL in the late
morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Numerous showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Thunderstorms
expected to diminish around 2 AM AKDT. Chance of
scattered showers through the morning.
CWR.................50 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM AKDT.

$$
Forecaster...TWOMBLY
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416746.0/AFG
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0