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FNAK79 PAFG 200105
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Flat Creek...DOF
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
505 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 AKDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A weather system will be moving through the fire area later this
evening bringing a slight chance of rain. Chances of rain will
increase tomorrow afternoon, bringing a chance of thunderstorms,
with moderate minimum RH vales around 40 percent and temperatures
in the mid 60s during the day. South winds 5 to 10 mph will
dominate through early tomorrow morning and switch to Northerly
winds at 10 to 15 mph by 1 PM AKDT.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 13 mph.
Inversion burnoff...N/A.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers overnight.
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 8 to 10 mph in the evening becoming
    light.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....2 AM AKDT.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    widespread rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon. Areas of fog in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......North winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL in the
late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 12 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8:30 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms. Areas of fog in
the evening. Areas of fog in the afternoon. Lows around 50. Highs
in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around
7 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...TWOMBLY
Requested by...Ryan Bieling
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416417.0/AFG
.DELDT 06/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0